- The Braves are -165 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers vs Braves Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Tigers / Braves TV Channel: BSSO | BSDT
The Detroit Tigers (+140) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-165) on Tuesday, June 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Tigers are 34-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 33-37 ATS.
Tigers vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 1-4, 4.41 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Schwellenbach 0-2, 6.19 ERA
Tigers vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -140 | O 9 -115 | +140 |
| Braves | -1.5 +115 | U 9 -105 | -165 |
Tigers vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 19 games (+21.90 Units / 115% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+13.05 Units / 63% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+10.10 Units / 65% ROI)
- Mark Canha has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.95 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 24 games (+16.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- Adam Duvall has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 39 games (+15.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- Adam Duvall has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 38 games (+15.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 34 of his last 45 games (+14.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 39 games (+13.80 Units / 35% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 55 games (+13.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 away games (+8.80 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 away games (+8.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games (+2.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.25 Units / 13% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 56 games (+20.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games (+9.59 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.45 Units / 26% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 33-39 against the Run Line (-9.85 Units / -10.14% ROI).
- 34-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.5 Units / -7.89% ROI
- 39-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.1 Units / 11.97% ROI
- 27-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.9 Units / -20.95% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 33-37 against the Run Line (-4.8 Units / -5.92% ROI).
- 39-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.35 Units / -8.43% ROI
- 26-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.45 Units / -24.15% ROI
- 41-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.45 Units / 16.02% ROI
Braves vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
Braves vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jarred Kelenic (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Mark Canha (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Wenceel Perez (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Braves vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Braves vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Casey Mize (DET) | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +120 |
| Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .381 (8-for-21) against Casey Mize with two-strikes over the last 14 days — highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .165 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 11% (11/99) against Casey Mize this month (3 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Casey Mize has allowed an OBP of .429 (35 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .239 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 14% (27/196) against Casey Mize this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of 46% (38/83) against Spencer Schwellenbach over the last 14 days — highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Schwellenbach has a strike rate of 73% (127/174) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 46% (38/83) against Spencer Schwellenbach this month (2 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 46% (38/83) against Spencer Schwellenbach — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Tigers are just 25-58 (.301) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Tigers are just 21-8 (.724) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .850.
The Tigers are just 22-7 (.759) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .892.
The Tigers are 16-2 (.889) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .757.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
The Braves are just 2-7 (.222) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .425.
The Braves are 50-51 (.495) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .302.
The Braves are 129-68 (.655) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .527.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .292 (11,121 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Tigers are batting just .309 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .235 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .594.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .360 against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .473 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .806 (8,875 PA’s) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Braves hitters have an OBP of .382 (1,082 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .331.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .822 (2,173 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Tigers have won just 24% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 194 of 2,672 batters (7%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Tigers won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 301 of 3,513 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.4 MPH (1,646 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.4 MPH this season (1,646 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Braves vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
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