- The Braves are -125 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers vs Braves Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Tigers / Braves TV Channel: BSSO | BSDT
The Detroit Tigers (+105) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-125) on Wednesday, June 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 12:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Tigers are 34-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 33-38 ATS.
Tigers vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 8-2, 2.20 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Reynaldo Lopez 4-2, 1.70 ERA
Tigers vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -210 | O 7 +100 | +105 |
| Braves | -1.5 +170 | U 7 -120 | -125 |
Tigers vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 20 games (+20.90 Units / 104% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+14.05 Units / 61% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+11.30 Units / 68% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.95 Units / 43% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.70 Units / 67% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+17.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- Adam Duvall has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 40 games (+16.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- Adam Duvall has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 28 of his last 39 games (+16.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 35 of his last 46 games (+15.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 40 games (+12.80 Units / 32% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 56 games (+11.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 away games (+10.05 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 away games (+9.10 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 35 away games (+1.85 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games (+1.30 Units / 10% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 57 games (+21.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 26 games (+10.59 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+0.45 Units / 7% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 34-39 against the Run Line (-8.85 Units / -8.98% ROI).
- 34-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.5 Units / -8.99% ROI
- 39-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +8 Units / 10.37% ROI
- 28-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.9 Units / -19.35% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 33-38 against the Run Line (-5.8 Units / -7.06% ROI).
- 40-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.35 Units / -7.51% ROI
- 26-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.55 Units / -25.23% ROI
- 42-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.45 Units / 17.07% ROI
Braves vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Braves vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Mark Canha (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Wenceel Perez (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Braves vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Mark Canha (DET) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Braves vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tarik Skubal (DET) | 6.5 -135 | 6.5 +105 |
| Reynaldo Lopez (ATL) | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +100 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 21% (16/77) against Tarik Skubal when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .119 (14-for-118) against Tarik Skubal when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .224 — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .164 (383 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitless in 15 AB’s against Tarik Skubal when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .224 — 100th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Reynaldo Lopez has a strikeout rate of 56% (10 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .104 (30-for-288) against Reynaldo Lopez with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: .172 — 100th Percentile.
Reynaldo Lopez has allowed an OPS of just .305 (60 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: .720 — 100th Percentile.
Reynaldo Lopez has allowed an OBP of just .249 (421 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .301 — 98th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Tigers are just 25-58 (.301) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Tigers are just 22-7 (.759) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .889.
The Tigers are just 40-50 (.444) after a home win since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Tigers are just 25-101 (.198) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
The Braves are just 2-7 (.222) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .425.
The Braves are 50-51 (.495) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .302.
The Braves are 17-73 (.189) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 194 of 2,702 batters (7%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 670 of 8,775 batters (8%) since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 301 of 3,521 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
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