- The Tigers are -125 favorites vs the Mariners
- Tigers vs Mariners Over / Under today: 6.5 Runs
- Tigers / Mariners TV Channel: FDDT | RTNW
The Detroit Tigers (-125) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (+105) on Wednesday, April 2, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Tigers are 2-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 1-5 ATS.
Tigers vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 0-1, 7.21 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 0-1, 3.60 ERA
Tigers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 +150 | O 6.5 -110 | -125 |
| Mariners | +1.5 -185 | U 6.5 -110 | +105 |
Tigers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tarik Skubal has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+10.00 Units / 333% ROI)
- Tarik Skubal has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Tarik Skubal has hit the Strikeouts Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 5 games (+5.35 Units / 75% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+10.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+6.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+5.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Victor Robles has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 59% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 82 games (+24.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 84 games (+20.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 57 games (+14.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 2 of their last 3 games (+1.00 Units / 29% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 58 games (+14.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 71 games at home (+10.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games (+8.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+8.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+7.60 Units / 17% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 3-2 against the Run Line (+0.7 Units / 9.46% ROI).
- 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -10% ROI
- 4-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.75 Units / 47.83% ROI
- 1-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.25 Units / -61.32% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 1-5 against the Run Line (-3.65 Units / -60.83% ROI).
- 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.05 Units / -42.41% ROI
- 1-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.45 Units / -51.11% ROI
- 4-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.05 Units / 46.92% ROI
Mariners vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Mariners vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zach McKinstry (DET) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Victor Robles (SEA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Mariners vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -295 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -285 |
Mariners vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Castillo (SEA) | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -115 |
| Tarik Skubal (DET) | 7.5 +110 | 7.5 -145 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .162 (451 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal allowed a slugging percentage of just .152 (12 Total Bases / 79 ABs) on fastballs away in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .365 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .111 (46-for-416) against Tarik Skubal with two-strikes in the 2024 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .163 — 98th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OPS of just .324 (451 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .482 — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Castillo has a strike rate of just 47% (14/30) in two strike counts this season — 3rd lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 64% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 71% (10/14) against Luis Castillo this season — tied for 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 96th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has a strike rate of just 53% (21/40) vs left-handed batters this season — 4th lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 62% — eighth Percentile.
Luis Castillo has allowed an OBP of just .253 (383 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — tied for 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .287 — 87th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Tigers were 6-59 (.092) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Tigers were 18-54 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Tigers are 75-16 (.824) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .739.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Mariners are 19-117 (.140) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Mariners are just 16-25 (.390) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners were just 7-13 (.350) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners were 18-1 (.947) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .809.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .305 (2,836 PA’s) against LHP since the 2023 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Tigers are batting just .229 against LHP since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .302 (9,470 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The Tigers batted just .127 on pitches out of the zone in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Mariners hitters have drawn 22 walks in 139 PA’s (16%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Mariners are batting just .140 with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 432 of 6,146 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers walked 416 of 5,969 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 30% against Tigers pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Tigers have won just 28% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers allowed an OBP of just .251 (1,441 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .250 (1,495 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
Mariners pitchers walked 76 of 1,441 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 80 of 1,495 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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