- The Tigers are -190 favorites vs the Orioles
- Tigers vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Tigers / Orioles TV Channel: MAS2 | FDDT
The Detroit Tigers (-190) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+155) on Thursday, June 12, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Tigers are 44-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 23-42 ATS.
Tigers vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 6-2, 2.17 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer 5-6, 5.03 ERA
Tigers vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 -118 | O 8 -105 | -190 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -102 | U 8 -115 | +155 |
Tigers vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 61.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tarik Skubal has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+15.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+10.10 Units / 40% ROI)
- Dillon Dingler has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+9.85 Units / 141% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+9.25 Units / 45% ROI)
- Tarik Skubal has hit the Strikeouts Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.70 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jackson Holliday has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+13.10 Units / 131% ROI)
- Dylan Carlson has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jackson Holliday has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+8.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- Jackson Holliday has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+7.35 Units / 74% ROI)
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.60 Units / 82% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 66 games (+17.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 42 of their last 69 games (+15.18 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 40 of their last 68 games (+14.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 68 games (+11.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 37 away games (+9.25 Units / 22% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 61 games (+11.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.08 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 46 games (+7.14 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+2.65 Units / 25% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 38-31 against the Run Line (+3.2 Units / 3.56% ROI).
- 44-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.15 Units / 14.2% ROI
- 31-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.8 Units / -7.71% ROI
- 34-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.15 Units / -0.2% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 23-42 against the Run Line (-22.21 Units / -26.54% ROI).
- 27-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.7 Units / -24.36% ROI
- 29-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.03 Units / -11.14% ROI
- 34-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.88 Units / 2.57% ROI
Orioles vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -325 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Parker Meadows (DET) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Orioles vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Gleyber Torres (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Orioles vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Parker Meadows (DET) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Gleyber Torres (DET) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -285 |
Orioles vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tarik Skubal (DET) | 7.5 -155 | 7.5 +120 |
| Dean Kremer (BAL) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tarik Skubal allowed an OPS of just .317 (441 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .486 — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has a strike rate of 70% (2,815/4,035) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has walked 1% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal allowed an OBP of just .159 (441 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting .331 (53-for-160) against Dean Kremer this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .245 (35-for-143) against Dean Kremer with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .161 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .283 (83-for-293) against Dean Kremer this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — fourth Percentile.
Dean Kremer has allowed an OBP of .308 (156 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — third Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Tigers were 39-4 (.907) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .750.
The Tigers were 36-5 (.878) when they hit 2 or more home runs in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
The Tigers are 51-9 (.850) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Orioles are just 10-17 (.370) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .552.
The Orioles are just 8-32 (.200) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.
The Orioles are just 2-31 (.061) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .136.
The Orioles were 36-10 (.783) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers are batting .269 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Tigers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Tigers batted just .229 against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Tigers are batting just .318 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters are slugging just .282 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .376.
Orioles hitters grounded into 71 double plays in 1,127 opportunities (6%) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Orioles hitters had an OPS of .751 (4,517 PA’s) against RHP in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 3.52 (2060.1 IP) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.06.
Tigers pitchers walked 416 of 5,969 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Orioles won just 4% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Batters facing the Orioles pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 47% of the time this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Orioles pitchers this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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