- The Orioles are -125 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Tigers / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | BSDT
The Detroit Tigers (+115) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-135) on Saturday, September 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Tigers are 80-74 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 82-72 ATS.
Tigers vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Reese Olson 4-8, 3.51 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Cade Povich 2-9, 5.77 ERA
Tigers vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -190 | O 8.5 -115 | +115 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +155 | U 8.5 -105 | -135 |
Tigers vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Colt Keith has hit the Hits Over in his last 17 away games (+18.85 Units / 56% ROI)
- Wenceel Perez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 12 away games (+15.50 Units / 129% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 37 games (+14.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 24 away games (+11.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 24 away games (+10.25 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 19 games at home (+22.50 Units / 118% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+12.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+11.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 31 of his last 50 games (+10.90 Units / 19% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 49 games (+53.90 Units / 110% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 49 games (+49.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 67 games (+21.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 69 games (+17.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 42 games (+9.50 Units / 20% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 50 of their last 79 games (+18.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 78 of their last 145 games (+15.85 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 59 of their last 107 games (+13.25 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.95 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games at home (+1.50 Units / 2% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 83-71 against the Run Line (+4.2 Units / 2.02% ROI).
- 80-74 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.95 Units / 2.19% ROI
- 75-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.95 Units / -1.78% ROI
- 71-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.55 Units / -6.93% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 82-72 against the Run Line (+15.7 Units / 8.5% ROI).
- 86-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.4 Units / -3.29% ROI
- 82-60 when betting on the total runs Over for +16.6 Units / 9.88% ROI
- 60-82 when betting on the total runs Under for -30.15 Units / -17.88% ROI
Orioles vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Orioles vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Andy Ibanez (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Orioles vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Orioles vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cade Povich (BAL) | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +115 |
| Reese Olson (DET) | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 36% (55/153) against Reese Olson when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 99th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 34% (106/307) against Reese Olson when he’s behind in the count since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
The average home run distance against Reese Olson in the 2023 season was 416.8 feet — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.3
Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 24% (53/225) against Reese Olson this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: 16% — 99th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cade Povich has not allowed a runner to reach base (18 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (3 games) — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .266 — 100th Percentile.
Cade Povich has retired the leadoff hitter in each of his last 18 innings — Mason Miller has the longest active streak at 24.
Cade Povich has walked 23 of 221 right-handed batters (10%) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 22% (15/67) against Cade Povich on the first pitch of at-bats this month (3 games) — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — second Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Tigers are 37-4 (.902) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .751.
The Tigers are 26-1 (.963) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .807.
The Tigers are 40-24 (.625) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .584.
The Tigers are 11-53 (.172) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .099.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Orioles are 60-48 (.556) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Orioles are 134-21 (.865) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .791.
The Orioles are 97-18 (.843) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .739.
The Orioles are 21-12 (.636) after a road loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .485.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .293 (13,494 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .301 (9,156 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The Tigers are batting just .312 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .660 (13,494 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have 30 strikeouts in 85 PA’s (35%) against LHP over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 396 of 5,675 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 872 of 11,748 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 348 of 4,250 batters (8%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 1,369 of 17,929 batters (8%) since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles pitchers have won 34% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Orioles have won 41% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .211 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Orioles vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Baltimore Orioles – No Injuries Reported
- Detroit Tigers – No Injuries Reported
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