- The Tigers are -185 favorites vs the Royals
- Tigers vs Royals Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Tigers / Royals TV Channel: FDDT | FDKC
The Detroit Tigers (-200) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+165) on Saturday, May 31, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Tigers are 38-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 30-28 ATS.
Tigers vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 5-2, 2.49 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 3-4, 3.21 ERA
Tigers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 -115 | O 7.5 -110 | -200 |
| Royals | +1.5 -105 | U 7.5 -110 | +165 |
Tigers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 60.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tarik Skubal has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.25 Units / 44% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+11.25 Units / 44% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+11.00 Units / 275% ROI)
- Tarik Skubal has hit the Strikeouts Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Walks Over in his last 7 games (+9.90 Units / 141% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.50 Units / 46% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.75 Units / 56% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 58 games (+18.48 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 55 games (+18.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 58 games (+15.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 57 games (+14.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 57 games (+13.80 Units / 20% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 58 games (+25.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+15.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 36 games (+9.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 57 games (+9.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 games (+7.05 Units / 16% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 33-25 against the Run Line (+5.8 Units / 7.72% ROI).
- 38-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +15 Units / 18.15% ROI
- 27-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.2 Units / -3.48% ROI
- 27-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.7 Units / -4.18% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 30-28 against the Run Line (-7.1 Units / -8.35% ROI).
- 30-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.4 Units / 3.34% ROI
- 21-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.02 Units / -28.55% ROI
- 36-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.8 Units / 19.85% ROI
Royals vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Royals vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gleyber Torres (DET) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Javier Baez (DET) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +170 |
Royals vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Javier Baez (DET) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Royals vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tarik Skubal (DET) | 6.5 -140 | 6.5 +105 |
| Michael Wacha (KC) | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -110 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tarik Skubal allowed an OBP of just .159 (441 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .244 (1,014 PA’s) since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — 97th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has a strike rate of 70% (2,687/3,851) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .161 (597 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .229 — 100th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Wacha threw his breaking pitches for a strike just 47% (212/452) of the time in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Michael Wacha has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 50% (313/623) of the time since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Hitters swung at 28% of Michael Wacha’s breaking pitches (128/452) in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.
Michael Wacha allowed a slugging percentage of just .242 (16 Total Bases / 66 ABs) on low fastballs in the 2024 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .395 — 97th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Tigers are 32-6 (.842) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Tigers are 94-17 (.847) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .738.
The Tigers are 21-69 (.233) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals are just 18-89 (.168) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .298.
The Royals are just 6-64 (.086) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .193.
The Royals are 9-0 (1.000) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .813.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers are batting .267 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Tigers hitters had an OPS of just .659 (1,395 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
The Tigers are batting just .132 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .149.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .177 on pitches out of the zone since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have struck out in just 18% of it’s PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Royals are batting just .317 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Royals hitters have struck out in just 19% of it’s PA’s against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers walked 416 of 5,969 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have won 48% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Royals pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 3.41 (940.2 IP) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.19.
Royals pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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