- The Tigers are -105 favorites vs the Twins
- Tigers vs Twins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Tigers / Twins TV Channel: TWTV | FDDX
The Detroit Tigers (-102) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-118) on Sunday, April 13, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Tigers are 9-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 6-9 ATS.
Tigers vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 2-0, 0.77 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Simeon Woods Richardson 0-1, 5.79 ERA
Tigers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 +165 | O 8.5 -110 | -102 |
| Twins | +1.5 -200 | U 8.5 -110 | -118 |
Tigers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+13.40 Units / 223% ROI)
- Trey Sweeney has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.95 Units / 56% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+6.55 Units / 82% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.40 Units / 62% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+5.25 Units / 66% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ty France has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+14.50 Units / 362% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+9.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- Edouard Julien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.20 Units / 56% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.65 Units / 48% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.30 Units / 30% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 86 away games (+15.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 91 of their last 171 games (+8.25 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 86 away games (+6.80 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 86 away games (+6.25 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 86 away games (+1.75 Units / 2% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 81 games at home (+11.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+1.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 84 of their last 162 games (+0.91 Units / 0% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 10-4 against the Run Line (+5.95 Units / 31.4% ROI).
- 9-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.9 Units / 26.56% ROI
- 7-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.35 Units / 2.24% ROI
- 6-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.5 Units / -9.84% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 6-9 against the Run Line (-2.8 Units / -15.22% ROI).
- 4-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.6 Units / -49.36% ROI
- 6-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.7 Units / -10.27% ROI
- 7-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units / 2.13% ROI
Twins vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -350 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Twins vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Gleyber Torres (DET) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Ty France (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Twins vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Ty France (MIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Twins vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN) | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
| Casey Mize (DET) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Casey Mize has struck out 40% (10/25) of left-handed batters he faced in his last two starts — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .095 (2-for-21) against Casey Mize in his last two starts — 4th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .215 — 94th Percentile.
Casey Mize has not allowed a home run in any of the last 23.0 innings he’s appeared — the longest active streak is 56.1.
Casey Mize has allowed a slugging percentage of just .184 (7 Total Bases / 38 ABs) this season — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .387 — 94th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting .533 (8-for-15) against Simeon Woods Richardson this month (2 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — first Percentile.
Simeon Woods Richardson has allowed a slugging percentage of .656 (61 Total Bases / 93 ABs) on changeups since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: .377 — first Percentile.
Simeon Woods Richardson has allowed an OBP of .556 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .286 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 19% (3/16) against Simeon Woods Richardson on non-fastballs this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 46% — first Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Tigers are 1-5 (.167) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .031.
The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Tigers are 19-57 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Tigers were 18-54 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Twins are just 4-11 (.267) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 1-78 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Twins are just 0-8 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .133.
The Twins are just 15-33 (.312) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Tigers (19th best runs scored) today.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have put just 29% of their swings in play with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .282 (3,017 PA’s) when leading off an inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .263 (1,445 PA’s) when leading off an inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .305.
The Tigers are batting just .228 against LHP since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .171 (117 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .306.
The Twins are batting just .110 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .226.
Twins hitters have an OPS of just .373 (117 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .675.
Twins hitters have 41 strikeouts in 117 PA’s (35%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 460 of 6,471 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers walked 416 of 5,969 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers had an ERA of 2.93 (464.0 IP) against division opponents in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
Tigers pitchers have walked 936 of 12,546 batters (7%) since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers walked 433 of 6,078 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have walked 474 of 6,634 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .298 against Twins pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
More MLB Reading:
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