- The Astros are -130 favorites vs the Twins
- Twins vs Astros Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Twins / Astros TV Channel: BSNO | SCHN | MLBN
The Minnesota Twins (+110) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-130) on Saturday, June 1, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Twins are 32-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 23-35 ATS.
Twins vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Joe Ryan 4-3, 2.97 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 3-3, 4.38 ERA
Twins vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | +1.5 -190 | O 7.5 -115 | +110 |
| Astros | -1.5 +155 | U 7.5 -105 | -130 |
Twins vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Twins vs Astros and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 14 away games (+25.70 Units / 184% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 26 games (+15.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+12.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+10.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 14 away games (+8.95 Units / 64% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 35 of his last 43 games (+22.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 31 games (+19.15 Units / 62% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 40 games (+17.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 40 games (+14.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 45 games (+14.30 Units / 27% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 37 games (+9.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.64 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games (+5.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+2.15 Units / 16% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games (+11.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 58 games (+10.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games (+5.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games (+3.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.85 Units / 12% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 27-30 against the Run Line (-4.75 Units / -6.4% ROI).
- 32-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.35 Units / 0.46% ROI
- 25-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.85 Units / -9.47% ROI
- 28-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.4 Units / 0.65% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 23-35 against the Run Line (-12.75 Units / -18.33% ROI).
- 25-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.45 Units / -22.42% ROI
- 21-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -16 Units / -25.26% ROI
- 34-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.85 Units / 16.86% ROI
Astros vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Astros vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manuel Margot (MIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Astros vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Astros vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Ryan (MIN) | 5.5 -150 | 5.5 +115 |
| Framber Valdez (HOU) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joe Ryan has allowed a slugging percentage of just .077 (3 Total Bases / 39 ABs) on fastballs away this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .334 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 28% (26/94) against Joe Ryan this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Joe Ryan has walked 9 of 262 batters (3%) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.
Joe Ryan has allowed a slugging percentage of just .268 (33 Total Bases / 123 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .386 — 94th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Framber Valdez has thrown inside pitches 47% of the time (841/1,793) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 68% (96/142) against Framber Valdez this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of 82% (28/34) against Framber Valdez when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez has thrown inside pitches 46% of the time (447/968) with two-strikes since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Twins are 16-82 (.163) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Twins are 22-70 (.239) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Twins are just 17-30 (.362) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 45-15 (.750) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .617.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Astros are 41-34 (.547) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Astros are 55-48 (.534) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Astros are 125-94 (.571) after a win since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.
The Astros are just 23-87 (.209) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .153 with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
The Twins are batting just .285 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .331.
Twins hitters have 131 extra-base hits out of 309 total hits (42%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Twins hitters have 1,647 strikeouts in 6,298 PA’s (26%) against RHP since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 753 strikeouts in 4,314 PA’s (17%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters are slugging .501 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .369.
Astros hitters have just 432 strikeouts in 2,464 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,989/14,510 PA’s) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 132 of 1,962 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have walked 1,049 of 14,185 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have walked 581 of 8,143 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% versus the bottom of the order this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 59% of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
Bet now on Twins vs Astros and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
