- The Twins are +100 favorites vs the Astros
- Twins vs Astros Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Twins / Astros TV Channel: TWTV | SCHN
The Minnesota Twins (+100) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-120) on Friday, June 13, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX, TX.
This season, the Twins are 36-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 36-32 ATS.
Twins vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Chris Paddack 2-5, 3.55 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Colton Gordon 1-1, 5.26 ERA
Twins vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +165 | O 8 -115 | +100 |
| Astros | +1.5 -200 | U 8 -105 | -120 |
Twins vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ty France has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+13.05 Units / 43% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.70 Units / 60% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 away games (+9.10 Units / 130% ROI)
- Harrison Bader has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Byron Buxton has hit the Walks Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+7.10 Units / 101% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+24.85 Units / 61% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+17.65 Units / 51% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+12.90 Units / 143% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+10.00 Units / 50% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 61 games (+11.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 58 games (+10.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 away games (+8.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 59 games (+8.75 Units / 13% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 68 games (+11.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 29 games at home (+11.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 32 games at home (+10.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 60 games (+10.67 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.15 Units / 27% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 37-31 against the Run Line (+6.55 Units / 7.73% ROI).
- 36-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -1.88% ROI
- 28-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.4 Units / -15.28% ROI
- 36-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.1 Units / 6.79% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 36-32 against the Run Line (+6.02 Units / 7.06% ROI).
- 38-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.85 Units / 2.06% ROI
- 27-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.7 Units / -21.02% ROI
- 39-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.4 Units / 12.53% ROI
Astros vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Astros vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Ty France (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jake Meyers (HOU) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
Astros vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ty France (MIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Astros vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Colton Gordon (HOU) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -140 |
| Chris Paddack (MIN) | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -160 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Paddack has a strike rate of just 60% (234/387) in two strike counts this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — seventh Percentile.
Chris Paddack has a strikeout rate of just 18% (18 SO in 98 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 11% (4/36) against Chris Paddack with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 36% (29/81) against Chris Paddack when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Colton Gordon has not walked any of the 19 batters that he has faced this month (1 game) — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
80% of Colton Gordon’s strikeouts are on pitches in the zone this month (1 game) — tied for 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 50% — 96th Percentile.
Colton Gordon has thrown his slider 43% of the time (32/75) this month (1 game) — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total SL; League Avg: 23% — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .368 (7-for-19) against Colton Gordon this month (1 game) — tied for 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .247 — fourth Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Twins were just 1-68 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Twins were 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Twins were just 32-46 (.410) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Royals (sixth best runs allowed) today.
The Twins are 18-1 (.947) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros were just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 70-48 (.593) at home since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Astros are just 1-84 (.012) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters struck out 1,274 times in 4,710 PA’s (27%) against RHP in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters slugged .716 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .596.
Twins hitters struck out 1,654 times in 6,219 PA’s (27%) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters had a swing rate of just 57% with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 60%.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters averaged just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.68 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters averaged just 3.66 pitches per plate appearance in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters have put 43% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% this month (10 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
More MLB Reading:
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