- The Astros are -130 favorites vs the Twins
- Twins vs Astros Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Twins / Astros TV Channel: TWTV | SCHN
The Minnesota Twins (-102) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-118) on Saturday, June 14, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Twins are 36-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 37-32 ATS.
Twins vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Joe Ryan 7-2, 2.96 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 8-3, 1.82 ERA
Twins vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +170 | O 7 -118 | -102 |
| Astros | +1.5 -210 | U 7 -102 | -118 |
Twins vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Willi Castro has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+16.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+13.05 Units / 43% ROI)
- Brooks Lee has hit the Singles Over in his last 10 games (+10.60 Units / 100% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.05 Units / 42% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+7.60 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+25.70 Units / 65% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+17.65 Units / 50% ROI)
- Hunter Brown has hit the Earned Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+16.20 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+12.60 Units / 126% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 62 games (+10.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 59 games (+9.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 36 away games (+9.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.80 Units / 51% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 30 games at home (+12.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 33 games at home (+11.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 61 games (+11.67 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 69 games (+10.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 36 games (+9.05 Units / 23% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 37-32 against the Run Line (+5.55 Units / 6.48% ROI).
- 36-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.85 Units / -3.1% ROI
- 29-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.4 Units / -13.74% ROI
- 36-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +4 Units / 5.25% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 37-32 against the Run Line (+7.02 Units / 8.1% ROI).
- 39-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.85 Units / 3.14% ROI
- 28-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.7 Units / -19.39% ROI
- 39-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.3 Units / 10.91% ROI
Astros vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Shay Whitcomb (HOU) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Astros vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jake Meyers (HOU) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Astros vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -325 |
| Victor Caratini (HOU) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -325 |
Astros vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hunter Brown (HOU) | 6.5 -140 | 6.5 +105 |
| Joe Ryan (MIN) | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -118 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 10% (10/97) against Joe Ryan this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Joe Ryan has struck out 35% (54/154) of right-handed batters he faced this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Joe Ryan has a strikeout rate of 36% (42 SO in 117 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
69% of Joe Ryan’s strikeouts are on pitches in the zone this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 98th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .120 (13-for-108) against Hunter Brown when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 24% (24/99) against Hunter Brown’s fastball this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Brown has induced opposing hitters to ground into 11 double plays in 44 opportunities (25%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 29% (69/237) against Hunter Brown’s fastball in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Twins are 26-2 (.929) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .806.
The Twins were just 1-68 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Twins are just 2-97 (.020) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Twins were 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros were just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are just 1-84 (.012) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Astros are 31-2 (.939) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .905.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters slugged .716 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .596.
Twins hitters struck out 1,274 times in 4,710 PA’s (27%) against RHP in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters struck out 1,654 times in 6,219 PA’s (27%) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Twins are batting just .189 in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters averaged just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters have put just 29% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Astros hitters have put 43% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
15% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,283/8,661 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 12%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers walked 433 of 6,078 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
More MLB Reading:
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