- The Astros are -140 favorites vs the Twins
- Twins vs Astros Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Twins / Astros TV Channel: TWTV | SCHN
The Minnesota Twins (+105) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-125) on Sunday, June 15, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Twins are 36-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 38-32 ATS.
Twins vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Simeon Woods Richardson 2-3, 5.88 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Brandon Walter 0-0, 1.64 ERA
Twins vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | +1.5 -175 | O 8.5 -118 | +105 |
| Astros | -1.5 +155 | U 8.5 -102 | -125 |
Twins vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ty France has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.50 Units / 37% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+15.00 Units / 167% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.95 Units / 40% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.05 Units / 51% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.95 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+22.35 Units / 56% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+15.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+10.80 Units / 120% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+10.10 Units / 50% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 63 games (+11.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 60 games (+8.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 61 games (+8.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 37 away games (+8.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 37 games (+7.50 Units / 16% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 31 games at home (+13.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 34 games at home (+12.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 62 games (+12.67 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 70 games (+11.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 37 games (+10.05 Units / 25% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 37-33 against the Run Line (+4.55 Units / 5.25% ROI).
- 36-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.95 Units / -4.25% ROI
- 29-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.4 Units / -14.86% ROI
- 37-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +5 Units / 6.46% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 38-32 against the Run Line (+8.02 Units / 9.06% ROI).
- 40-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.85 Units / 4.19% ROI
- 28-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.7 Units / -20.44% ROI
- 40-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.3 Units / 12.03% ROI
Astros vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Astros vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ty France (MIN) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Willi Castro (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Astros vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -220 |
| Ty France (MIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Astros vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN) | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
| Brandon Walter (HOU) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Simeon Woods Richardson has allowed a slugging percentage of .633 (69 Total Bases / 109 ABs) on changeups since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: .368 — first Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .415 (22 GB hits out of 53 GBs) against Simeon Woods Richardson with runners on base in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .257 — first Percentile.
Simeon Woods Richardson has allowed an OPS of 1.105 (61 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: .651 — 0 Percentile.
Simeon Woods Richardson has induced opposing hitters to ground into just 6 double plays in 154 opportunities (4%) since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 0 Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Walter has not walked any of the 24 batters that he has faced this month (1 game) — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
80% of Brandon Walter’s strikeouts are on pitches in the zone this month (1 game) — tied for 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 50% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% (12/19) against Brandon Walter this month (1 game) — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 98th Percentile.
Brandon Walter has a strike rate of 70% (63/90) this month (1 game) — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 95th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Twins were just 1-68 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Twins were just 32-46 (.410) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Royals (sixth best runs allowed) today.
The Twins were 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Twins are 26-2 (.929) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros were just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros were 65-10 (.867) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
The Astros are 169-18 (.904) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .859.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters struck out 1,654 times in 6,219 PA’s (27%) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters had a swing rate of just 57% with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 60%.
The Twins batted just .150 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Twins hitters slugged just .242 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters averaged just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.69 pitches per plate appearance since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.74 pitches per plate appearance since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers walked 433 of 6,078 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .293 against Twins pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 49% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% this month (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
More MLB Reading:
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