- The Twins are -160 favorites vs the Athletics
- Twins vs Athletics Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Twins / Athletics TV Channel: BSNO | NSCA | MLBN
The Minnesota Twins (-160) visit Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+135) on Friday, June 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland, CA.
This season, the Twins are 41-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 39-38 ATS.
Twins vs Athletics Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Chris Paddack 5-3, 5.26 ERA
- Athletics starting pitcher: Joey Estes 2-2, 6.09 ERA
Twins vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +100 | O 8 -110 | -160 |
| Athletics | +1.5 -120 | U 8 -110 | +135 |
Twins vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Friday‘s MLB game with 65.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 20 away games (+26.80 Units / 134% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 40 games (+9.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+8.95 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Zack Gelof has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games at home (+29.40 Units / 420% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+13.45 Units / 49% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 47 games (+13.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- Brent Rooker has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+10.35 Units / 29% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 58 games (+10.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 55 games (+6.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 away games (+6.29 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 36 games (+5.40 Units / 14% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+9.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games (+4.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 26 games at home (+3.50 Units / 12% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 33-42 against the Run Line (-12.7 Units / -13.12% ROI).
- 41-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -1.95% ROI
- 34-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.7 Units / -8.23% ROI
- 37-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.65 Units / -0.8% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 39-38 against the Run Line (-6.2 Units / -6.4% ROI).
- 28-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.25 Units / -11.56% ROI
- 33-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.35 Units / -14.67% ROI
- 41-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.95 Units / 4.64% ROI
Athletics vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Shea Langeliers (OAK) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
Athletics vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Abraham Toro (OAK) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Miguel Andujar (OAK) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Willi Castro (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Athletics vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Brent Rooker (OAK) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Athletics vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Paddack (MIN) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
| Joey Estes (OAK) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Paddack has allowed a slugging percentage of .511 (47 Total Bases / 92 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .302 — first Percentile.
Chris Paddack has allowed a slugging percentage of .598 (70 Total Bases / 117 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .366 — second Percentile.
Chris Paddack has allowed an OPS of .921 (121 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .648 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .370 (34 GB hits out of 92 GBs) against Chris Paddack this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — first Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 19% (21/108) against Joey Estes this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (37/108) against Joey Estes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Joey Estes has not induced opposing hitters to ground into a double play in 21 opportunities (0%) this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 11% — first Percentile.
Division opponents are hitting just .050 (1-for-20) against Joey Estes this month (1 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .256 — 100th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Twins are just 6-12 (.333) after a road loss this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .487.
The Twins are 33-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .941.
The Twins are 104-1 (.990) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Twins are 71-57 (.555) after a win since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .507.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Athletics are just 7-10 (.412) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.
The Athletics are just 42-79 (.347) after a home loss since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.
The Athletics are just 133-219 (.378) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Athletics are just 37-99 (.272) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting .274 with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .173.
Twins hitters have drawn 43 walks in 699 PA’s (6%) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins hitters have an OBP of .313 (361 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (18 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Twins are batting .332 at home this month (10 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics are batting just .202 with two outs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.
The Athletics are batting just .225 against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Athletics are batting just .229 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
The Athletics are batting just .220 since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 642 of 8,819 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have walked 143 of 2,122 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 5.63 (1007.0 IP) on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.34.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Athletics have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Athletics vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Aledmys Diaz (Oakland Athletics): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, 15-Day IL
- James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
- Trevor Gott (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
- Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Luis Medina (Oakland Athletics): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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