- The Twins are -200 favorites vs the Athletics
- Twins vs Athletics Over / Under today: 10.5 Runs
- Twins / Athletics TV Channel: TWTV | NSCA
The Minnesota Twins (-190) visit Sutter Health Park to take on the Oakland Athletics (+154) on Thursday, June 5, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 3:35pm EDT in Sacramento, CA.
This season, the Twins are 34-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are ATS.
Twins vs Athletics Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Bailey Ober 4-1, 3.47 ERA
- Athletics starting pitcher: Mitch Spence 1-1, 4.39 ERA
Twins vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 -125 | O 10 -105 | -190 |
| Athletics | +1.5 +105 | U 10 -115 | +154 |
Twins vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 61.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
Twins Best Bets Today:
Athletics Best Bets Today:
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 35-26 against the Run Line (+9.2 Units / 11.87% ROI).
- 34-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.45 Units / 4.3% ROI
- 22-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.3 Units / -24.35% ROI
- 35-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.75 Units / 15.95% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Athletics are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Athletics vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -350 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Brent Rooker (ATH) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Lawrence Butler (ATH) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Athletics vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Brent Rooker (ATH) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Brooks Lee (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Athletics vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ty France (MIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Athletics vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mitch Spence (ATH) | 2.5 -165 | 2.5 +125 |
| David Festa (MIN) | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .287 against Bailey Ober non-fastballs this season — worst among qualified SPs– first Percentile. Opponents batted just .148 (45-for-304) against him non-fastballs last season — best among qualified SPs– 100th Percentile.
Bailey Ober has allowed a SLG of .462 non-fastballs this season — third worst among qualified SPs– fourth Percentile. He allowed a SLG of just .270 non-fastballs last season — fifth best among qualified SPs– 92nd Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .287 (41-for-143) against Bailey Ober’s non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .210 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (59/203) against Bailey Ober this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mitch Spence has a in-zone of just 30% (57/192) in two strike counts this season — 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.
Mitch Spence has located his fastball inside 51% of the time (205/402) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 99th Percentile.
27% of Mitch Spence’s strikeouts are on pitches in the zone this season — 8th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 51% — third Percentile.
Mitch Spence has located his fastballs down 58% of the time (233/402) since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 153 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 99th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Twins are just 0-22 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .041.
The Twins are 169-3 (.983) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Twins were 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Twins were just 15-28 (.349) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Royals (12th best runs scored) today.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Athletics are just 15-8 (.652) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .863.
The Athletics are just 86-154 (.358) after a loss since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Athletics are just 25-131 (.160) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
The Athletics are just 38-97 (.281) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Twins (11th best runs scored) today.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins batted just .150 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Twins hitters slugged .716 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .596.
Twins hitters struck out 1,654 times in 6,219 PA’s (27%) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters put just 33% of their swings in play with two-strikes in 2023 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics won only 32% of their home games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
The Athletics batted just .232 against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 37% since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 38% at home since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers walked 433 of 6,078 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% against Athletics pitchers over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Athletics pitchers since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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