- The Braves are -225 favorites vs the Twins
- Twins vs Braves Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Twins / Braves TV Channel: TWTV | FDSO | FDSE
The Minnesota Twins (+185) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-225) on Saturday, April 19, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Atlanta, GA, GA.
This season, the Twins are 7-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 8-11 ATS.
Twins vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Simeon Woods Richardson 1-1, 4.40 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 0-2, 6.64 ERA
Twins vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | +1.5 -115 | O 7.5 -105 | +185 |
| Braves | -1.5 -105 | U 7.5 -115 | -225 |
Twins vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 64.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ty France has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+14.50 Units / 362% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+11.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.85 Units / 63% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 away games (+9.50 Units / 37% ROI)
- Byron Buxton has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.40 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+15.00 Units / 214% ROI)
- Chris Sale has hit the Pitching Outs Under in his last 7 games (+8.55 Units / 98% ROI)
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+6.25 Units / 77% ROI)
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Total Bases Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.25 Units / 74% ROI)
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.20 Units / 65% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 84 of their last 165 games (+7.60 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+5.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+2.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 84 of their last 162 games (+0.66 Units / 0% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 100 of their last 166 games (+35.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 90 of their last 157 games (+14.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+2.55 Units / 12% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 8-12 against the Run Line (-3.65 Units / -14.72% ROI).
- 7-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.8 Units / -35.13% ROI
- 8-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -3 Units / -13.57% ROI
- 10-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.2 Units / 5.48% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 8-11 against the Run Line (-3.55 Units / -15.14% ROI).
- 6-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.6 Units / -41.65% ROI
- 9-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.25 Units / 1.18% ROI
- 8-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.85 Units / -8.92% ROI
Braves vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Braves vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Alex Verdugo (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Braves vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Braves vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
| Chris Sale (ATL) | 7.5 +115 | 7.5 -150 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Simeon Woods Richardson has allowed a slugging percentage of .626 (62 Total Bases / 99 ABs) on changeups since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: .376 — first Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .423 (11-for-26) against Simeon Woods Richardson this month (3 games) — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .233 — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 18% (4/22) against Simeon Woods Richardson this month (3 games) — lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 40% — second Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .423 (11-for-26) against Simeon Woods Richardson this month (3 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — second Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
37 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor since last season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has allowed an OBP of .368 (87 PAs) this season — seventh worst among qualified SPs– seventh Percentile. He allowed an OBP of just .269 (700 PAs) last season — tied for seventh best among qualified SPs– 89th Percentile.
Chris Sale has an ERA of 6.63 this season — tied for sixth worst among qualified SPs– seventh Percentile. He had an ERA of 2.38 last season — best among qualified SPs– 100th Percentile.
32 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts were backdoor in the 2024 season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Twins are just 0-12 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .026.
The Twins are just 16-33 (.327) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Braves (15th best runs scored) today.
The Twins are just 7-13 (.350) this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins were just 15-28 (.349) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Royals (12th best runs scored) today.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Braves are just 0-11 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .026.
The Braves are 21-119 (.150) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .098.
The Braves are 2-10 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .070.
The Braves are just 8-39 (.170) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .287.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .176 (136 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .306.
The Twins are batting just .118 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .229.
Twins hitters struck out 1,274 times in 4,710 PA’s (27%) against RHP in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters are slugging just .205 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .370.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
The Braves batted .326 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Braves batted .288 against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Braves hitters slugged .751 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .596.
Braves hitters are slugging .476 against LHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out in the zone 46% of the time since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 29% against Braves pitchers in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
More MLB Reading:
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