- The Twins are +100 favorites vs the Braves
- Twins vs Braves Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Twins / Braves TV Channel: TWTV | FDSO | FDSE
The Minnesota Twins (+100) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-120) on Sunday, April 20, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Atlanta, GA, GA.
This season, the Twins are 7-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 8-12 ATS.
Twins vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Joe Ryan 1-1, 2.49 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Grant Holmes 1-1, 3.78 ERA
Twins vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +170 | O 8 -118 | +100 |
| Braves | +1.5 -210 | U 8 -102 | -120 |
Twins vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ty France has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+14.50 Units / 362% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.80 Units / 62% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 25 away games (+9.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 10 games (+7.70 Units / 77% ROI)
- Edouard Julien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.60 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+14.00 Units / 175% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+7.50 Units / 65% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+7.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+6.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+6.35 Units / 24% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.30 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 83 of their last 165 games (+5.50 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 84 of their last 162 games (+0.21 Units / 0% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 101 of their last 166 games (+37.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 90 of their last 157 games (+14.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+3.55 Units / 15% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 9-12 against the Run Line (-2.65 Units / -10.23% ROI).
- 7-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.8 Units / -37.62% ROI
- 8-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.1 Units / -17.67% ROI
- 11-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.2 Units / 9.57% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 8-12 against the Run Line (-4.65 Units / -18.94% ROI).
- 7-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.6 Units / -34.53% ROI
- 9-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.85 Units / -3.83% ROI
- 9-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.85 Units / -3.89% ROI
Braves vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Braves vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo (ATL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ty France (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Braves vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ty France (MIN) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Braves vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Ryan (MIN) | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +105 |
| Grant Holmes (ATL) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joe Ryan has not walked any of the 36 batters that they have faced when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Joe Ryan has walked 2% of batters this season — 2nd best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 8% — 98th Percentile.
Joe Ryan has thrown fastballs 91% of the time (58/64) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 54% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters swung at 55% of Joe Ryan’s pitches (1,476/2,683) in 2023 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .706 (12 GB hits out of 17 GBs) against Grant Holmes with runners in scoring position in the 2024 season — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: .258 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .062 (2-for-32) against Grant Holmes’ non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .218 — 100th Percentile.
Grant Holmes has allowed a slugging percentage of just .062 (2 Total Bases / 32 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .364 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of 35% (112/316) against Grant Holmes in the 2024 season — tied for 8th best among NL Relievers; League Avg: 27% — 92nd Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Twins are just 0-13 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .032.
The Twins are just 0-10 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .110.
The Twins are just 0-11 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .074.
The Twins are just 1-81 (.012) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Braves are just 3-3 (.500) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .890.
The Braves are just 7-13 (.350) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .531.
The Braves are 200-144 (.581) since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are just 8-39 (.170) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .287.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .205 (161 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .306.
Twins hitters have 12 extra-base hits out of 21 total hits (57%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
The Twins are batting just .141 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .229.
The Twins batted just .150 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters slugged .501 in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Braves hitters had an OBP of .400 (732 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Braves hitters had an OPS of .870 (1,425 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .742.
The Braves batted .288 against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers walked 433 of 6,078 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Twins pitchers in 2023 — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out in the zone 35% of the time over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%. over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
More MLB Reading:
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