- The Twins are -110 favorites vs the Brewers
- Twins vs Brewers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Twins / Brewers TV Channel: TWTV | FDWI
The Minnesota Twins (-115) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-105) on Friday, May 16, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI, WI.
This season, the Twins are 24-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 22-22 ATS.
Twins vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Joe Ryan 3-2, 2.76 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Chad Patrick 2-3, 3.24 ERA
Twins vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +150 | O 7.5 -105 | -115 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -185 | U 7.5 -115 | -105 |
Twins vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+14.10 Units / 201% ROI)
- Royce Lewis has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+13.10 Units / 87% ROI)
- Royce Lewis has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.10 Units / 49% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+9.95 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+11.15 Units / 45% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+10.30 Units / 103% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+7.50 Units / 20% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 34 games (+13.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in their last 11 games (+12.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+11.15 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 37 games (+8.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 away games (+8.15 Units / 32% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+9.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 40 games (+6.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games (+6.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games (+5.77 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.35 Units / 24% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 26-18 against the Run Line (+9.55 Units / 17.22% ROI).
- 24-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 0.94% ROI
- 16-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.6 Units / -23.82% ROI
- 25-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.5 Units / 15.59% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 22-22 against the Run Line (-4.35 Units / -7.2% ROI).
- 21-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -6.21% ROI
- 16-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.7 Units / -24% ROI
- 25-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.5 Units / 15.61% ROI
Brewers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Brewers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ty France (MIN) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Brooks Lee (MIN) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
Brewers vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Brewers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chad Patrick (MIL) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -118 |
| Joe Ryan (MIN) | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -150 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joe Ryan has struck out 38% (39/103) of right-handed batters he faced this season — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Joe Ryan has struck out 38% (39/103) of right-handed batters he faced this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Joe Ryan has walked 1% of batters when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Joe Ryan has walked 3% of batters this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 98th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 23% (11/47) against Chad Patrick in two-strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 30% (22/73) against Chad Patrick this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.
Chad Patrick has thrown elevated pitches 55% of the time (123/225) with two-strikes this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 23% (12/51) against Chad Patrick this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — third Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Twins were just 1-68 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Twins are 72-30 (.706) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .624.
The Twins are just 1-85 (.012) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Twins were just 15-28 (.349) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Royals (12th best runs scored) today.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Brewers are 58-41 (.586) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season They play the Twins (19th best runs allowed) today.
The Brewers are 15-7 (.682) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are just 0-18 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Brewers were 40-28 (.588) after a loss in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .504.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins batted just .150 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Twins hitters struck out 1,654 times in 6,219 PA’s (27%) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters slugged .716 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .596.
Twins hitters slugged just .164 on pitches out of the zone in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Brewers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .293 against Twins pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out in the zone 55% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 20% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Brewers have won just 0% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
More MLB Reading:
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