- The Twins are -115 favorites vs the Brewers
- Twins vs Brewers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Twins / Brewers TV Channel: FOX
The Minnesota Twins (-115) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-105) on Saturday, May 17, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Twins are 25-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 22-23 ATS.
Twins vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Pablo Lopez 3-2, 2.75 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Tobias Myers 1-0, 3.78 ERA
Twins vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +150 | O 7.5 -105 | -115 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -185 | U 7.5 -115 | -105 |
Twins vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 55.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Pablo Lopez has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+7.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- Pablo Lopez has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.10 Units / 56% ROI)
- Pablo Lopez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- Pablo Lopez has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+2.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- Pablo Lopez has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 3 of his last 5 games (+0.35 Units / 5% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- No trends found
Twins Best Bets Today:
Brewers Best Bets Today:
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 27-18 against the Run Line (+11.05 Units / 19.57% ROI).
- 25-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 2.6% ROI
- 16-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.7 Units / -25.5% ROI
- 26-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.5 Units / 17.28% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 22-23 against the Run Line (-6.05 Units / -9.74% ROI).
- 21-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.35 Units / -8.03% ROI
- 16-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.8 Units / -25.68% ROI
- 26-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.5 Units / 17.29% ROI
Brewers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Kody Clemens (MIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Brewers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ty France (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
Brewers vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Ty France (MIN) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Brewers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tobias Myers (MIL) | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +120 |
| Pablo Lopez (MIN) | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Pablo Lopez has walked 4% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 95th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez walked 11 of 288 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 91st Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 34% (152/454) against Pablo Lopez when he’s behind in the count since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 146 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez walked 5% of batters in the 2024 season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 88th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tobias Myers allowed a slugging percentage of .711 (32 Total Bases / 45 ABs) on low fastballs in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .403 — first Percentile.
Opponents batted just .150 (16-for-107) against Tobias Myers with runners in scoring position in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .249 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 28% (126/454) against Tobias Myers since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 146 total IP; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a groundball rate of just 34% (68/198) against Tobias Myers in the 2024 season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — seventh Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Twins are 17-7 (.708) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins were 40-18 (.690) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Royals (12th best runs scored) today.
The Twins were just 32-46 (.410) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Royals (sixth best runs allowed) today.
The Twins are just 8-12 (.400) after a loss this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Brewers are just 0-19 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .121.
The Brewers were 93-69 (.574) in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are just 0-21 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Brewers are 52-5 (.912) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters slugged .716 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .596.
Twins hitters struck out 380 times in 1,509 PA’s (25%) against LHP in 2023 — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters struck out 1,274 times in 4,710 PA’s (27%) against RHP in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Twins have a winning percentage of 86% this month (14 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters came to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,726 of their 6,170 plate appearances (28%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .293 against Twins pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out in the zone 55% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Brewers have won just 0% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out in the zone 52% of the time since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
More MLB Reading:
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