- The Brewers are -160 favorites vs the Twins
- Twins vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Twins / Brewers TV Channel: TWTV | FDWI
The Minnesota Twins (+125) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-150) on Sunday, May 18, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI, WI.
This season, the Twins are 26-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 22-24 ATS.
Twins vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Simeon Woods Richardson 2-2, 5.16 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 4-3, 2.67 ERA
Twins vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | +1.5 -185 | O 7.5 -120 | +125 |
| Brewers | -1.5 +150 | U 7.5 +100 | -150 |
Twins vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 59.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kody Clemens has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 away games (+14.40 Units / 288% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.35 Units / 42% ROI)
- Royce Lewis has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+10.55 Units / 70% ROI)
- Brooks Lee has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+8.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Singles Over in his last 7 away games (+7.85 Units / 108% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christian Yelich has hit the Walks Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+9.55 Units / 52% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.85 Units / 53% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 36 games (+16.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in their last 13 games (+14.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 37 games (+13.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 39 games (+10.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.30 Units / 71% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 42 games (+11.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.40 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 42 games (+4.80 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 42 games (+3.55 Units / 7% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 28-18 against the Run Line (+12.45 Units / 21.67% ROI).
- 26-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.55 Units / 4.19% ROI
- 16-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.8 Units / -27.11% ROI
- 27-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.5 Units / 18.89% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 22-24 against the Run Line (-7.7 Units / -12.08% ROI).
- 21-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.35 Units / -9.7% ROI
- 16-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.9 Units / -27.28% ROI
- 27-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.5 Units / 18.91% ROI
Brewers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kody Clemens (MIN) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Brewers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Brewers vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kody Clemens (MIN) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -295 |
Brewers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zebby Matthews (MIN) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -135 |
| Freddy Peralta (MIL) | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -150 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .415 (22 GB hits out of 53 GBs) against Simeon Woods Richardson with runners on base in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .257 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 18% (3/17) against Simeon Woods Richardson’s changeup this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .342 (25-for-73) against Simeon Woods Richardson this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: .245 — fourth Percentile.
Simeon Woods Richardson has allowed an OPS of 1.042 (53 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: .659 — first Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Freddy Peralta has a in-zone of just 37% (149/398) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 50% — second Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has a strike rate of just 61% (2,376/3,908) since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has a in-zone of just 37% (149/398) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 51% — first Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has a strike rate of just 54% (76/142) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Twins were just 15-28 (.349) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Royals (12th best runs scored) today.
The Twins were just 32-46 (.410) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Royals (sixth best runs allowed) today.
The Twins were just 1-68 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Twins are 57-29 (.663) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Brewers (sixth best runs scored) today.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Brewers are just 0-23 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .044.
The Brewers are just 3-145 (.020) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Brewers are just 0-22 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Brewers were 13-6 (.684) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters struck out 1,654 times in 6,219 PA’s (27%) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters are averaging 4.15 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Twins hitters slugged just .164 on pitches out of the zone in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Twins batted just .241 against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
The Brewers are batting just .184 this month (15 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of just .256 (521 PA’s) this month (15 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out in the zone 55% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Brewers have won just 0% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.
The Brewers have won just 6% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out in the zone 52% of the time since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
More MLB Reading:
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