- The Twins are -110 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Twins vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Twins / Cardinals TV Channel: TWTV | FDMW
The Minnesota Twins (-115) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-105) on Thursday, March 27, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO, USA.
This preseason, the Twins are 10-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 9-10 ATS.
Twins vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Pablo Lopez 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Twins vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +154 | O 7.5 -115 | -115 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -190 | U 7.5 -105 | -105 |
Twins vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 52.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Pablo Lopez has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 70% ROI)
- Ryan Jeffers has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+6.30 Units / 105% ROI)
- Ryan Jeffers has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Pablo Lopez has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+5.95 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Sonny Gray has hit the Strikeouts Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Sonny Gray has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Sonny Gray has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+2.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- Sonny Gray has hit the Earned Runs Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.15 Units / 42% ROI)
- Sonny Gray has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.00 Units / 48% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 55 of their last 96 games (+16.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.20 Units / 79% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 6 away games (+0.35 Units / 5% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 41 games (+9.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games at home (+9.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 37 games (+8.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+7.35 Units / 30% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this preseason, the Twins were 10-12 against the Run Line (-2.85 Units / -10.59% ROI).
- 10-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.35 Units / -7.76% ROI
- 10-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.1 Units / -12.92% ROI
- 12-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 3.69% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this preseason, the Cardinals were 9-10 against the Run Line (+0.2 Units / 0.93% ROI).
- 7-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.9 Units / -27.88% ROI
- 9-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.2 Units / 0.92% ROI
- 8-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.15 Units / -9.64% ROI
Cardinals vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Lars Nootbaar (STL) | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Willi Castro (MIN) | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -1600 |
Cardinals vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Lars Nootbaar (STL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Ty France (MIN) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Cardinals vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -295 |
Cardinals vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sonny Gray (STL) | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +105 |
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Twins are 140-2 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Twins were just 32-46 (.410) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in 2024 They play the Marlins (29th best runs allowed) today.
The Twins are 27-110 (.197) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Twins are 62-26 (.705) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .626.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Cardinals were 18-9 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2024 — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 10-141 (.066) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Cardinals are 24-17 (.585) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals were 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2024 — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters struck out 1,274 times in 4,710 PA’s (27%) against RHP in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Twins were just 14-29 (.326) against the run line (-32.5% ROI) vs top 10 scoring offenses in 2024 They play the Marlins (27th best runs scored) today.
The Twins have scored 1.75 runs per game (568/324) in late innings since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 1.45.
The Twins batted just .150 with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting .249 with two outs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
The Cardinals won only 43% of their home games in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Cardinals hitters put 39% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats in 2023 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Cardinals are batting .165 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .153.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers walked 433 of 6,078 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers walked 443 of 6,028 batters (7%) in 2023 — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers walked 95 of 1,431 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in 2023 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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