- The Twins are -145 favorites vs the Cubs
- Twins vs Cubs Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Twins / Cubs TV Channel: BSNO | MARQ | MLBN
The Minnesota Twins (-145) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+120) on Wednesday, August 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Twins are 63-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 56-60 ATS.
Twins vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Joe Ryan 7-7, 3.58 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Javier Assad 5-3, 3.21 ERA
Twins vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +120 | O 7 -105 | -145 |
| Cubs | +1.5 -145 | U 7 -115 | +120 |
Twins vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 15 games (+24.50 Units / 163% ROI)
- Royce Lewis has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 36 games (+10.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.80 Units / 52% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+9.40 Units / 59% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 31 of his last 37 games (+21.90 Units / 39% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 45 games (+20.50 Units / 46% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+20.35 Units / 75% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 31 of his last 42 games (+18.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 32 of his last 48 games (+13.25 Units / 22% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 46 games (+13.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 92 games (+9.70 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 36 games (+9.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.45 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 away games (+1.85 Units / 18% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 58 of their last 104 games (+12.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 42 games at home (+11.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 42 games at home (+10.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 29 games (+6.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+5.00 Units / 43% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 55-57 against the Run Line (-4.15 Units / -2.92% ROI).
- 63-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.75 Units / 0.47% ROI
- 58-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.35 Units / 3.57% ROI
- 49-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.95 Units / -12.22% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 56-60 against the Run Line (-16.35 Units / -10.16% ROI).
- 56-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.6 Units / -3.31% ROI
- 50-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.2 Units / -14.22% ROI
- 62-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.3 Units / 5.73% ROI
Cubs vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Carlos Santana (MIN) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -1200 |
Cubs vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willi Castro (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Cubs vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Carlos Santana (MIN) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
Cubs vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Ryan (MIN) | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 -105 |
| Javier Assad (CHC) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joe Ryan has allowed an OBP of just .242 (252 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .300 — 100th Percentile.
Joe Ryan has a strike rate of 70% (1,540/2,195) vs left-handed batters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (49/150) against Joe Ryan in two-strike counts this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — sixth Percentile.
Joe Ryan has a strikeout rate of 34% (155 SO in 459 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Javier Assad has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 48% (171/359) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .137 (25-for-182) against Javier Assad with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: .253 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 40% (330/820) against Javier Assad this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.
Javier Assad has walked 25 of 202 right-handed batters (12%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Twins are 122-1 (.992) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Twins are 57-19 (.750) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .620.
The Twins are 11-6 (.647) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 46-31 (.597) after a home win since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .526.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Cubs are just 50-49 (.505) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.
The Cubs are just 8-16 (.333) after a road win this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .462.
The Cubs are 34-31 (.523) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .430.
The Cubs are just 15-53 (.221) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins have scored 194 runs in innings 7-9 this season — most in MLB.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .779 (3,319 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .700.
The Twins have scored 1.73 runs per game (194/112) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .791 (1,371 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .686.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting .288 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .530 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .580.
The Cubs are batting just .228 at home this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Cubs are batting .163 on pitches out of the zone since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins pitchers have walked 733 of 10,167 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have walked 161 of 2,451 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Twins pitchers since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 53 double plays in 814 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 91 of 1,028 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.3 MPH since last season (6,946 balls in play) — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Cubs pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (4,045 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Cubs vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Shane Greene (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, 60-Day IL
- Ben Brown (Chicago Cubs): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Nick Madrigal (Chicago Cubs): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Matt Mervis (Chicago Cubs): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Luis Vazquez (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Yency Almonte (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Keegan Thompson (Chicago Cubs): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Wicks (Chicago Cubs): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Hayden Wesneski (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Luke Little (Chicago Cubs): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Adbert Alzolay (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Byron Buxton (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, Day-To-Day
- Chris Paddack (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Groin, 10-Day IL
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brent Headrick (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Alex Kirilloff (Minnesota Twins): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jose Miranda (Minnesota Twins): Back, 10-Day IL
- Kyle Farmer (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Kody Funderburk (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
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