- The Twins are +100 favorites vs the Orioles
- Twins vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Twins / Orioles TV Channel: BSNO | MASN
The Minnesota Twins (+100) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-120) on Wednesday, April 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Twins are 6-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 10-7 ATS.
Twins vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Pablo Lopez 1-2, 4.96 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Twins vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +160 | O 8.5 -115 | +100 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -210 | U 8.5 -105 | -120 |
Twins vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 55.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Twins vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+10.55 Units / 79% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 16 away games (+8.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+7.15 Units / 65% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+6.05 Units / 76% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Austin Hays has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+8.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 12 games at home (+7.45 Units / 62% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.35 Units / 85% ROI)
- Corbin Burnes has hit the Strikeouts Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+6.35 Units / 47% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+5.70 Units / 65% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+6.64 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 22 away games (+5.41 Units / 21% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 92 of their last 149 games (+31.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 87 of their last 148 games (+22.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 49 of their last 80 games (+12.26 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 41 of their last 80 games (+9.88 Units / 9% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 7-9 against the Run Line (-3.45 Units / -16.51% ROI).
- 6-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.65 Units / -25.76% ROI
- 7-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.1 Units / -17.08% ROI
- 9-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.6 Units / 9.36% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 10-7 against the Run Line (+4.7 Units / 25.2% ROI).
- 11-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.95 Units / 11.92% ROI
- 11-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.5 Units / 33.94% ROI
- 4-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -8 Units / -43.72% ROI
Orioles vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Orioles vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Alex Kirilloff (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Orioles vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Alex Kirilloff (MIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Orioles vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 40% (88/223) against Pablo Lopez when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 54% (15/28) against Pablo Lopez when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has located his fastball inside 44% of the time (648/1,486) since last season — highest among in AL; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 38% (188/490) against Pablo Lopez when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Wells allowed a BABIP of .170 against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .297 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .211 (39-for-185) against Tyler Wells in non-two strike counts in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .338 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .181 (17-for-94) against Tyler Wells on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: .344 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (17/144) against Tyler Wells on changeups since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Twins were 33-11 (.750) when they scored in the first inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .612.
The Twins were 71-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Twins are just 14-28 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Twins are 143-4 (.973) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Orioles are 30-21 (.588) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .384.
The Orioles are 17-6 (.739) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .497.
The Orioles are 54-41 (.568) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
The Orioles were 25-21 (.543) when their opponents score in the first inning in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .388.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .212 (66 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.
The Twins are batting just .146 with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
The Twins batted just .150 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
The Twins are batting just .195 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are 40-17 (.702) against the run line (32.4% ROI) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .501.
The Orioles are 205-134 (.601) against the run line (13.2% ROI) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
Orioles hitters are slugging .344 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Orioles were 37-16 (.698) against the run line (28.9% ROI) after a road win in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Twins pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have walked 112 of 1,597 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 38 of 641 batters (6%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 18% against Orioles pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Orioles won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
Bet now on Twins vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
