- The Twins are +100 favorites vs the Orioles
- Twins vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Twins / Orioles TV Channel: BSNO | MASN
The Minnesota Twins (+100) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-120) on Wednesday, April 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Twins are 6-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 10-7 ATS.
Twins vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Pablo Lopez 1-2, 4.96 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Twins vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +160 | O 8.5 -115 | +100 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -210 | U 8.5 -105 | -120 |
Twins vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 55.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Carlos Santana has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+10.55 Units / 79% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 16 away games (+8.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+7.15 Units / 65% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+6.05 Units / 76% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Austin Hays has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+8.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 12 games at home (+7.45 Units / 62% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.35 Units / 85% ROI)
- Corbin Burnes has hit the Strikeouts Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+6.35 Units / 47% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+5.70 Units / 65% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+6.64 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 22 away games (+5.41 Units / 21% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 92 of their last 149 games (+31.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 87 of their last 148 games (+22.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 49 of their last 80 games (+12.26 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 41 of their last 80 games (+9.88 Units / 9% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 7-9 against the Run Line (-3.45 Units / -16.51% ROI).
- 6-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.65 Units / -25.76% ROI
- 7-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.1 Units / -17.08% ROI
- 9-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.6 Units / 9.36% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 10-7 against the Run Line (+4.7 Units / 25.2% ROI).
- 11-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.95 Units / 11.92% ROI
- 11-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.5 Units / 33.94% ROI
- 4-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -8 Units / -43.72% ROI
Orioles vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Orioles vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Alex Kirilloff (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Orioles vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Alex Kirilloff (MIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Orioles vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 40% (88/223) against Pablo Lopez when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 54% (15/28) against Pablo Lopez when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has located his fastball inside 44% of the time (648/1,486) since last season — highest among in AL; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 38% (188/490) against Pablo Lopez when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Wells allowed a BABIP of .170 against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .297 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .211 (39-for-185) against Tyler Wells in non-two strike counts in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .338 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .181 (17-for-94) against Tyler Wells on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: .344 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (17/144) against Tyler Wells on changeups since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Twins were 33-11 (.750) when they scored in the first inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .612.
The Twins were 71-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Twins are just 14-28 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Twins are 143-4 (.973) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Orioles are 30-21 (.588) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .384.
The Orioles are 17-6 (.739) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .497.
The Orioles are 54-41 (.568) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
The Orioles were 25-21 (.543) when their opponents score in the first inning in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .388.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .212 (66 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.
The Twins are batting just .146 with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
The Twins batted just .150 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
The Twins are batting just .195 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are 40-17 (.702) against the run line (32.4% ROI) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .501.
The Orioles are 205-134 (.601) against the run line (13.2% ROI) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
Orioles hitters are slugging .344 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Orioles were 37-16 (.698) against the run line (28.9% ROI) after a road win in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Twins pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have walked 112 of 1,597 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 38 of 641 batters (6%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 18% against Orioles pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Orioles won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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