- The Twins are -125 favorites vs the Rays
- Twins vs Rays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Twins / Rays TV Channel: FSUN | TWTV
The Minnesota Twins (-125) visit George M. Steinbrenner Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (+105) on Tuesday, May 27, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Tampa, FL.
This season, the Twins are 29-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 25-28 ATS.
Twins vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Joe Ryan 4-2, 2.70 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Taj Bradley 4-3, 4.61 ERA
Twins vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +140 | O 8.5 -118 | -125 |
| Rays | +1.5 -170 | U 8.5 -102 | +105 |
Twins vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kody Clemens has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+12.40 Units / 177% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+12.10 Units / 46% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 66% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 66% ROI)
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+5.85 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+14.30 Units / 159% ROI)
- Chandler Simpson has hit the Singles Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- Curtis Mead has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+8.65 Units / 87% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 55% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 44 games (+14.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games (+12.65 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+12.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 43 games (+10.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 46 games (+9.65 Units / 16% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 37 games (+11.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games (+8.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 53 games (+6.75 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in their last 6 games (+6.40 Units / 90% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in their last 5 games (+6.15 Units / 102% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 29-24 against the Run Line (+5.8 Units / 8.75% ROI).
- 29-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 1.73% ROI
- 18-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -16 Units / -27.42% ROI
- 31-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.25 Units / 19.28% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 25-28 against the Run Line (-3.75 Units / -5.76% ROI).
- 27-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.77 Units / -2.67% ROI
- 20-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.2 Units / -22.39% ROI
- 30-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.5 Units / 14.72% ROI
Rays vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Kody Clemens (MIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Rays vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ty France (MIN) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
Rays vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Rays vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Ryan (MIN) | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +125 |
| Taj Bradley (TB) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 13% (18/138) against Joe Ryan this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 7% (5/74) against Joe Ryan this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 36% (86/239) against Joe Ryan this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Joe Ryan has walked 1% of batters when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 14% (10/74) against Taj Bradley this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Taj Bradley has a first-pitch in-zone of just 49% (116/236) this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 56% — fifth Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 55% (41/74) against Taj Bradley this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 90th Percentile.
Taj Bradley has a strikeout rate of just 14% (7 SO in 50 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 11th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Twins are 165-3 (.982) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Twins were just 15-28 (.349) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Royals (12th best runs scored) today.
The Twins are 75-31 (.708) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .625.
The Twins are 20-2 (.909) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .812.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Rays are 3-22 (.120) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .041.
The Rays are 15-149 (.091) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rays were 70-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Rays are 16-1 (.941) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .812.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins batted just .150 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Twins hitters have struck out in 26% of it’s PA’s against LHP this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters struck out 1,654 times in 6,219 PA’s (27%) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters struck out 380 times in 1,509 PA’s (25%) against LHP in 2023 — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters slugged just .358 against RHP in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Rays hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Twins pitchers in 2023 — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Twins pitchers walked 433 of 6,078 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 54 double plays in 339 opportunities (16%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers walked 445 of 6,022 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 25% in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
More MLB Reading:
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