- The Twins are -110 favorites vs the Rays
- Twins vs Rays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Twins / Rays TV Channel: FSUN | TWTV
The Minnesota Twins (+110) visit George M. Steinbrenner Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-130) on Wednesday, May 28, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Tampa, FL.
This season, the Twins are 30-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 25-29 ATS.
Twins vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Pablo Lopez 4-2, 2.30 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen 3-4, 2.60 ERA
Twins vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | +1.5 -200 | O 8 -118 | +110 |
| Rays | -1.5 +165 | U 8 -102 | -130 |
Twins vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kody Clemens has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 away games (+16.60 Units / 208% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Kody Clemens has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.45 Units / 47% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 20 away games (+7.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- Kody Clemens has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 8 away games (+6.40 Units / 80% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+13.30 Units / 133% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+11.10 Units / 56% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+9.95 Units / 100% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+9.20 Units / 131% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 56% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games (+15.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 21 games (+13.65 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 47 games (+13.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+11.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 47 games (+10.65 Units / 17% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 38 games (+12.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 37 games (+9.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 54 games (+7.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.40 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.55 Units / 59% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 30-24 against the Run Line (+7.2 Units / 10.7% ROI).
- 30-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.2 Units / 3.11% ROI
- 18-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.1 Units / -28.76% ROI
- 32-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.25 Units / 20.61% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 25-29 against the Run Line (-5.35 Units / -8.03% ROI).
- 27-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.77 Units / -4.12% ROI
- 20-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.3 Units / -23.81% ROI
- 31-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.5 Units / 16.14% ROI
Rays vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kody Clemens (MIN) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Rays vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Chandler Simpson (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ty France (MIN) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Rays vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kody Clemens (MIN) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
Rays vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pablo Lopez (MIN) | 5.5 -150 | 5.5 +115 |
| Drew Rasmussen (TB) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Pablo Lopez has a strikeout rate of 28% (185 SO in 656 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2023 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 34% (156/462) against Pablo Lopez when he’s behind in the count since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 24% (8/33) against Pablo Lopez in his last two starts — 4th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.
Pablo Lopez allowed an OPS of .762 (288 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .670 — 16th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Rasmussen has thrown inside pitches 54% of the time (239/447) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has thrown inside pitches 53% of the time (103/195) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (346/782) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 99th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (234/524) in non-two strike counts this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 21 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 98th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Twins were just 1-68 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Twins were just 32-46 (.410) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Royals (sixth best runs allowed) today.
The Twins are 95-2 (.979) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Twins are 166-3 (.982) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Rays are 15-150 (.090) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rays are 3-23 (.115) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .042.
The Rays are 89-53 (.622) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Twins (11th best runs scored) today.
The Rays are 134-22 (.859) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters slugged .716 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .596.
Twins hitters struck out 380 times in 1,509 PA’s (25%) against LHP in 2023 — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Twins batted just .150 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Twins hitters slugged just .164 on pitches out of the zone in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging just .367 against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Rays hitters put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Rays hitters had an OPS of just .669 (6,006 PA’s) in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.
The Rays won 65% of their home games in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers walked 433 of 6,078 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 55 double plays in 344 opportunities (16%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Batters facing the Rays pitchers have struck out in the zone 52% of the time since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers walked 439 of 5,994 batters (7%) in 2023 — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
More MLB Reading:
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