- The Twins are -115 favorites vs the Rays
- Twins vs Rays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Twins / Rays TV Channel: BSNO | BSUN
The Minnesota Twins (-115) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-105) on Wednesday, September 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:50pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Twins are 75-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 69-69 ATS.
Twins vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Ronny Henriquez 1-0, 2.46 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Cole Sulser 0-0, 5.41 ERA
Twins vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +150 | O 7.5 +100 | -115 |
| Rays | +1.5 -185 | U 7.5 -120 | -105 |
Twins vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 27 games (+23.50 Units / 87% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 26 games (+16.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+15.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 37 games (+14.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 37 games (+14.30 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Siri has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+15.90 Units / 177% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 38 games (+12.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+10.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+9.30 Units / 23% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 72 games (+11.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 13 away games (+8.90 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 68 of their last 118 games (+5.15 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 32 away games (+3.95 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 away games (+2.35 Units / 11% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 82 of their last 135 games (+25.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 74 of their last 129 games (+14.25 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 62 games (+11.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 67 games (+9.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 65 games (+3.20 Units / 4% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 65-73 against the Run Line (-10.75 Units / -6.13% ROI).
- 75-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.8 Units / -1.95% ROI
- 70-62 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.05 Units / 1.36% ROI
- 62-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.4 Units / -10.18% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 69-69 against the Run Line (-6.55 Units / -3.51% ROI).
- 68-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.25 Units / -6.74% ROI
- 63-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.1 Units / -9.32% ROI
- 71-63 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.1 Units / 1.38% ROI
Rays vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Rays vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Willi Castro (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Rays vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jose Miranda (MIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Rays vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cole Sulser (NYM) | 1.5 -155 | 1.5 +115 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ronny Henriquez has allowed an OPS of just .143 (7 PA’s) in his last two appearances — 9th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .733 — 93rd Percentile.
Ronny Henriquez has thrown off-speed pitches 64% of the time (38/59) against right-handed batters over the last 14 days — 9th highest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 46% — 82nd Percentile.
Ronny Henriquez has thrown off-speed pitches 68% of the time (15/22) on the first pitch of at-bats in his last four appearances — tied for 8th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — 93rd Percentile.
Ronny Henriquez has thrown off-speed pitches 68% of the time (15/22) on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days — tied for 7th highest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 41% — 89th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cole Sulser has limited playing time.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Twins are 133-2 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Twins are 57-3 (.950) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Twins are 26-98 (.210) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Twins are just 26-35 (.426) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Rays are just 25-50 (.333) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Rays are 123-5 (.961) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .898.
The Rays are 12-115 (.094) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Rays are just 18-36 (.333) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins have won 71% of games in which they have scored first on the road since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
The Twins have answered-back in 32% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Twins have answered-back in 37% of innings after an opponent scores this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
The Twins are just 13-18 (.419) against the run line (-14.3% ROI) after a road loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays scored first in 59% of their home games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Rays won 65% of their home games in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
The Twins have won 47% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Twins pitchers won 37% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Twins pitchers have won 38% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Twins pitchers have won 35% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games at home in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Rays vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Tampa Bay Rays – No Injuries Reported
- Minnesota Twins – No Injuries Reported
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