- The Twins are -110 favorites vs the Tigers
- Twins vs Tigers Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Twins / Tigers TV Channel: BSNO | BSDT
The Minnesota Twins (-110) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-110) on Saturday, July 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Twins are 57-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 54-51 ATS.
Twins vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Joe Ryan 6-6, 3.65 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 11-3, 2.34 ERA
Twins vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +170 | O 6.5 -105 | -110 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -210 | U 6.5 -115 | -110 |
Twins vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 22 games (+21.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- Edouard Julien has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 16 games (+12.95 Units / 43% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+11.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- Edouard Julien has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 27 games (+10.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+10.45 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 22 games at home (+26.00 Units / 118% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+10.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- Tarik Skubal has hit the Pitching Outs Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.90 Units / 72% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Total Bases Under in 27 of his last 41 games (+7.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+7.55 Units / 45% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 36 games (+11.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 26 games (+8.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 82 games (+8.15 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.75 Units / 10% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 18 games (+15.10 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 51 of their last 88 games (+13.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.15 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+7.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.45 Units / 22% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 49-53 against the Run Line (-5.1 Units / -3.96% ROI).
- 57-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -0.56% ROI
- 52-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.65 Units / 1.49% ROI
- 46-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.5 Units / -10.31% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 54-51 against the Run Line (-2.05 Units / -1.43% ROI).
- 51-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.55 Units / -4.61% ROI
- 56-42 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.4 Units / 8.37% ROI
- 42-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.8 Units / -17.64% ROI
Tigers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Justyn-Henry Malloy (DET) | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -1600 |
Tigers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Wenceel Perez (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Manuel Margot (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Tigers vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Mark Canha (DET) | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Tigers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Ryan (MIN) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -155 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joe Ryan has allowed a slugging percentage of .488 (204 Total Bases / 418 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .389 — sixth Percentile.
Joe Ryan has walked 9 of 233 left-handed batters (4%) this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (46/140) against Joe Ryan in two-strike counts this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — sixth Percentile.
Joe Ryan has walked 7 of 180 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 93rd Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 21% (23/108) against Tarik Skubal when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 39% — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has walked 1 of 88 batters (1%) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .211 (180 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .284 — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .166 (475 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 100th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Twins are 54-17 (.761) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .622.
The Twins are 115-1 (.991) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Twins are 24-84 (.222) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Twins are 15-30 (.333) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .197.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Tigers are 11-36 (.234) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Tigers are 7-38 (.156) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Tigers are 23-3 (.885) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .759.
The Tigers are just 41-4 (.911) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .945.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting .278 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Twins hitters have drawn 58 walks in 943 PA’s (6%) against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .780 (943 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
The Twins have scored 1.90 runs per game (192/101) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.41.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters are slugging just .364 against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .292 (12,050 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Tigers are batting just .308 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
The Tigers are batting just .219 on pitches 95 mph or greater since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 255 of 3,740 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 277 of 3,846 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 753 of 9,919 batters (8%) since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 17% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Reese Olson (Detroit Tigers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Alex Lange (Detroit Tigers): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Matt Manning (Detroit Tigers): Lat, 7-Day IL
- Parker Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Eddys Leonard (Detroit Tigers): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 7-Day IL
- Casey Mize (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Kerry Carpenter (Detroit Tigers): Back, 60-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Byron Buxton (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, Day-To-Day
- Chris Paddack (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Groin, 10-Day IL
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brent Headrick (Minnesota Twins): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Alex Kirilloff (Minnesota Twins): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jose Miranda (Minnesota Twins): Back, 10-Day IL
- Kyle Farmer (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Kody Funderburk (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
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