Twins vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 1

(AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
  • The Twins are -170 favorites vs the White Sox
  • Twins vs White Sox Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Twins / White Sox TV Channel: TWTV | CHSN

The Minnesota Twins (-160) visit Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+135) on Tuesday, April 1, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Twins are 0-4 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 4-0 ATS.

Twins vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Twins starting pitcher: Simeon Woods Richardson 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Shane Smith 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Twins vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Twins-1.5 +115O 7.5 -120-160
White Sox +1.5 -135U 7.5 +100+135

Twins vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 60.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ty France has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 away games (+16.80 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+15.15 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.05 Units / 56% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Michael A. Taylor has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+13.70 Units / 457% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+8.15 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+6.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+5.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Travis Jankowski has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 5 games (+5.40 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 55 of their last 96 games (+16.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.20 Units / 79% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 6 away games (+0.35 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 49% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 0-4 against the Run Line (-4.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 0-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.3 Units / -100% ROI
  • 3-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.9 Units / 43.68% ROI
  • 1-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -52.81% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 4-0 against the Run Line (+4 Units / 79.21% ROI).

  • 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 25% ROI
  • 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -4.44% ROI
  • 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -2.33% ROI

White Sox vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Wallner (MIN) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Luis Robert (CWS) 0.5 +450 0.5 -625
Andrew Vaughn (CWS) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900
Ryan Jeffers (MIN) 0.5 +575 0.5 -800
Willi Castro (MIN) 0.5 +600 0.5 -900

White Sox vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Correa (MIN) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Ty France (MIN) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Andrew Vaughn (CWS) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Lenyn Sosa (CWS) 0.5 -185 0.5 +140
Trevor Larnach (MIN) 0.5 -185 0.5 +135

White Sox vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Wallner (MIN) 0.5 +165 0.5 -220
Trevor Larnach (MIN) 0.5 +175 0.5 -235
Andrew Vaughn (CWS) 0.5 +180 0.5 -235
Ryan Jeffers (MIN) 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Jose Miranda (MIN) 0.5 +195 0.5 -275

White Sox vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN) 4.5 -105 4.5 -120
Shane Smith (CWS) 4.5 +120 4.5 -155

Opponents had a groundball batting average of .415 (22 GB hits out of 53 GBs) against Simeon Woods Richardson with runners on base in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .257 — first Percentile.

Simeon Woods Richardson has allowed a slugging percentage of .622 (56 Total Bases / 90 ABs) on changeups since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: .378 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .415 (22 GB hits out of 53 GBs) against Simeon Woods Richardson with runners on base since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: .257 — first Percentile.

Hitters chased just 55 of Simeon Woods Richardson’s 243 changeups out of the zone (chase rate of 23%) in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 35% — first Percentile.

White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Shane Smith is making his MLB debut today.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Twins are 140-2 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The Twins were just 1-68 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Twins were 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The Twins were just 32-46 (.410) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Marlins (29th best runs allowed) today.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The White Sox were just 33-23 (.589) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The White Sox are just 86-78 (.524) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.

The White Sox were just 3-58 (.049) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.

The White Sox were just 0-79 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.

The Twins are batting just .075 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .225.

Twins hitters slugged .716 on the first pitch of at-bats in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .596.

Twins hitters have an OPS of just .303 (45 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.

The Twins are batting just .194 in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .285 (11,987 PA’s) since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .283 (9,065 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .278 (6,007 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .288 (5,989 PA’s) at home since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Twins pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of .293 against Twins pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .262.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 29% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.

Twins pitchers have an ERA of 7.31 (32.0 IP) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.

White Sox pitchers walked 643 of 6,241 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The White Sox won just 11% of games in which their opponents scored first last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 655 of 6,381 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.