Twins vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 2

Chicago White Sox first base Miguel Vargas (20) during their spring training baseball game against the Los Angeles Dodgers, Saturday, March 8, 2025, in Phoenix.
(AP Photo/Darryl Webb)
  • The Twins are -185 favorites vs the White Sox
  • Twins vs White Sox Over / Under today: 7 Runs
  • Twins / White Sox TV Channel: TWTV | CHSN

The Minnesota Twins (-185) visit Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+150) on Wednesday, April 2, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Twins are 1-4 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 4-1 ATS.

Twins vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Twins starting pitcher: Pablo Lopez 0-1, 3.38 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Sean Burke 1-0, 0.00 ERA

Twins vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Twins-1.5 -105O 7 +100-185
White Sox +1.5 -115U 7 -120+150

Twins vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 62.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ty France has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 away games (+14.30 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.65 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Pablo Lopez has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Carlos Correa has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Harrison Bader has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 3 games (+9.00 Units / 300% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Michael A. Taylor has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+13.70 Units / 457% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+9.15 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+6.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+6.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Travis Jankowski has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 5 games (+5.40 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 55 of their last 96 games (+16.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.20 Units / 79% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 6 away games (+0.35 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 49% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 1-4 against the Run Line (-3 Units / -58.82% ROI).

  • 1-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.3 Units / -62.32% ROI
  • 4-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.9 Units / 54.21% ROI
  • 1-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.55 Units / -62.83% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 4-1 against the Run Line (+2.7 Units / 42.52% ROI).

  • 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 3-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI
  • 2-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI

White Sox vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Byron Buxton (MIN) 0.5 +280 0.5 -350
Matt Wallner (MIN) 0.5 +320 0.5 -400
Trevor Larnach (MIN) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Carlos Correa (MIN) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Willi Castro (MIN) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750

White Sox vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Correa (MIN) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Ty France (MIN) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Byron Buxton (MIN) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Trevor Larnach (MIN) 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Andrew Benintendi (CWS) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145

White Sox vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Byron Buxton (MIN) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Matt Wallner (MIN) 0.5 +155 0.5 -200
Trevor Larnach (MIN) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Ty France (MIN) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Willi Castro (MIN) 0.5 +200 0.5 -275

Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 24% (84/345) against Pablo Lopez since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a first pitch chase rate of 24% (82/335) against Pablo Lopez in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Pablo Lopez has walked 11 of 297 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 94th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 68% (13/19) against Pablo Lopez this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 95th Percentile.

White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Sean Burke has a strikeout rate of just 14% (3 SO in 22 PAs) this season — tied for 8th lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 23% — 19th Percentile.

Sean Burke has pitched 14.2 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Daniel Lynch has the longest active streak at 25.0.

Sean Burke has allowed an OPS of just .372 (22 PA’s) this season — 8th best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .619 — 87th Percentile.

Sean Burke has thrown his curveball 27% of the time (4/15) when he’s behind in the count this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 94th Percentile.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Twins were just 32-46 (.410) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the White Sox (28th best runs allowed) today.

The Twins are 62-27 (.697) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .626.

The Twins are 141-2 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .950.

The Twins were just 1-68 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The White Sox were just 26-95 (.215) after a loss in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .503.

The White Sox were just 33-23 (.589) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The White Sox were just 41-121 (.253) in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The White Sox are just 86-22 (.796) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.

Twins hitters slugged .716 on the first pitch of at-bats in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .596.

The Twins are batting just .087 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .225.

Twins hitters have an OPS of just .344 (52 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .693.

The Twins are batting just .196 in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.

The White Sox had a winning percentage of just 28% at home last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .211 (6,386 PA’s) with two-strikes since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .283 (9,098 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 32% since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Twins pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.

Twins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Twins pitchers walked 433 of 6,078 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 35% against Twins pitchers over the last 14 days of the regular season (5 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 661 of 6,423 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The White Sox won just 11% of games in which their opponents scored first last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

White Sox pitchers walked 643 of 6,241 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The White Sox have won just 17% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.