Twins vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 31

Chicago White Sox's watches the flight of the ball during a baseball game against the Los Angeles Angels Wednesday, May 31, 2023, in Chicago.
(AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)
  • The Twins are -185 favorites vs the White Sox
  • Twins vs White Sox Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Twins / White Sox TV Channel: TWTV | CHSN

The Minnesota Twins (-190) visit Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+160) on Monday, March 31, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Twins are 0-3 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 3-0 ATS.

Twins vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Twins starting pitcher: Chris Paddack 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Martin Perez 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Twins vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Twins-1.5 -110O 7.5 -102-190
White Sox +1.5 -110U 7.5 -118+160

Twins vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Monday‘s MLB game with 59.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Twins vs White Sox and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ty France has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 away games (+14.05 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+13.15 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.75 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Harrison Bader has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 3 away games (+9.00 Units / 300% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Lenyn Sosa has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games at home (+12.60 Units / 315% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.35 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 15 games at home (+6.70 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.65 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Martin Perez has hit the Earned Runs Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+6.45 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 55 of their last 96 games (+16.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.20 Units / 79% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 6 away games (+0.35 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 49% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 0-3 against the Run Line (-3 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.35 Units / -100% ROI
  • 2-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.9 Units / 28.57% ROI
  • 1-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.35 Units / -39.13% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 3-0 against the Run Line (+3 Units / 75.95% ROI).

  • 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.65 Units / -21.67% ROI
  • 1-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • 2-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI

White Sox vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Byron Buxton (MIN) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
Ryan Jeffers (MIN) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Luis Robert (CWS) 0.5 +500 0.5 -750
Andrew Benintendi (CWS) 0.5 +575 0.5 -800
Matt Thaiss (CWS) 0.5 +600 0.5 -900

White Sox vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Correa (MIN) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Byron Buxton (MIN) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Ty France (MIN) 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Ryan Jeffers (MIN) 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Jose Miranda (MIN) 0.5 -220 0.5 +165

White Sox vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Byron Buxton (MIN) 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Ty France (MIN) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Ryan Jeffers (MIN) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Jose Miranda (MIN) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Carlos Correa (MIN) 0.5 +175 0.5 -235

White Sox vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chris Paddack (MIN) 4.5 -150 4.5 +115
Martin Perez (CWS) 3.5 +100 3.5 -130

Opponents had a line drive rate of 29% (82/283) versus Chris Paddack in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

Chris Paddack has allowed a slugging percentage of .500 (55 Total Bases / 110 ABs) on low non-fastballs since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: .316 — first Percentile.

Chris Paddack allowed a slugging percentage of just .244 (21 Total Bases / 86 ABs) on elevated fastballs in the 2024 season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .369 — 95th Percentile.

Chris Paddack has struck out just 17% (32/193) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — tied for 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 10th Percentile.

White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Martin Perez has allowed an OPS of 1.127 (124 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: .751 — 0 Percentile.

Martin Perez allowed an OPS of 1.127 (124 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .752 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents batted .381 (43-for-113) against Martin Perez when going through the lineup the third time in a game in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .260 — first Percentile.

Martin Perez allowed a slugging percentage of .699 (79 Total Bases / 113 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .430 — first Percentile.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Twins were just 32-46 (.410) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Marlins (29th best runs allowed) today.

The Twins are 27-113 (.193) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .142.

The Twins were just 1-68 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Twins were 40-18 (.690) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Marlins (27th best runs scored) today.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The White Sox were just 26-95 (.215) after a loss in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .503.

The White Sox were just 36-43 (.456) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .723.

The White Sox were just 23-58 (.284) at home in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.

The White Sox were just 11-23 (.324) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .641.

Twins hitters have chased 55% pitches with the pitcher behind in the count this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Twins hitters slugged .716 on the first pitch of at-bats in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .596.

The Twins batted just .150 with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.

Twins hitters have an OPS of just .505 (82 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.

The White Sox had a winning percentage of just 28% at home last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .283 (9,027 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .213 (3,148 PA’s) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .211 (6,341 PA’s) with two-strikes since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 30% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Twins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

In games when their opponents scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox won just 4% of the time last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

The White Sox won just 11% of games in which their opponents scored first last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

White Sox pitchers won only 6% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The White Sox won just 13% of home games in which their opponents scored first last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

More MLB Reading:


Bet now on Twins vs White Sox and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

Split First Bet Offer FBO March Matchups 1080x610
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.