- The Astros are -225 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox vs Astros Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- White Sox / Astros TV Channel: SCHN | CHSN
The Chicago White Sox (+185) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-225) on Thursday, June 12, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the White Sox are 23-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 36-31 ATS.
White Sox vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- White Sox starting pitcher: Davis Martin 2-6, 3.64 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 6-4, 3.11 ERA
White Sox vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -120 | O 7.5 -120 | +185 |
| Astros | -1.5 +100 | U 7.5 +100 | -225 |
White Sox vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 67.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Davis Martin has hit the Pitching Outs Over in his last 5 games (+5.40 Units / 102% ROI)
- Davis Martin has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.05 Units / 61% ROI)
- Davis Martin has hit the Hits Allowed Under in his last 4 games (+4.25 Units / 92% ROI)
- Davis Martin has hit the Earned Runs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.20 Units / 59% ROI)
- Davis Martin has hit the Strikeouts Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+3.10 Units / 15% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+24.10 Units / 58% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+15.55 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+10.25 Units / 41% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+8.10 Units / 101% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 45 games (+14.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 33 away games (+12.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 44 games (+11.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 44 games (+9.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 away games (+7.95 Units / 23% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 59 games (+11.87 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 67 games (+10.25 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 28 games at home (+10.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games at home (+9.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+9.15 Units / 25% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 39-29 against the Run Line (+6.4 Units / 7.89% ROI).
- 23-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.46 Units / -13.89% ROI
- 32-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.45 Units / -5.94% ROI
- 33-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.3 Units / -3.08% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 36-31 against the Run Line (+7.22 Units / 8.59% ROI).
- 37-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.85 Units / 0.98% ROI
- 27-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.6 Units / -19.84% ROI
- 38-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.4 Units / 11.37% ROI
Astros vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Isaac Paredes (HOU) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Miguel Vargas (CWS) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Astros vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jake Meyers (HOU) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Isaac Paredes (HOU) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Victor Caratini (HOU) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Astros vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Isaac Paredes (HOU) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -220 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Astros vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Davis Martin (CWS) | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
| Framber Valdez (HOU) | 7.5 +120 | 7.5 -155 |
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Davis Martin has struck out just 13% (17/132) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.
Davis Martin has a strikeout rate of just 15% (18 SO in 117 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — eighth Percentile.
Davis Martin has a strikeout rate of just 16% (48 SO in 307 PAs) this season — tied for 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 12th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 52% (54/104) against Davis Martin this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 86th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 61% (291/473) against Framber Valdez in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (423/694) against Framber Valdez since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez located 41% of his pitches inside (1,071/2,598) in the 2024 season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez located 42% of his pitches inside (302/710) with two-strikes in the 2024 season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The White Sox were just 33-23 (.589) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The White Sox were just 40-103 (.280) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.
The White Sox are just 40-123 (.245) after a loss since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The White Sox were just 18-63 (.222) on the road in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros are 166-18 (.902) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Astros were just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 67-46 (.593) at home since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .530.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .286 (10,855 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .645 (10,855 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .722.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .627 (6,259 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .287 (14,333 PA’s) since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have put just 29% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.73 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters averaged just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.68 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The White Sox have won just 12% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
White Sox pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox won just 5% of the time since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The White Sox have won just 6% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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