- The Marlins are -145 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- White Sox / Marlins TV Channel: NSCH | BSFL
The Chicago White Sox (+120) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-145) on Sunday, July 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the White Sox are 26-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 39-50 ATS.
White Sox vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- White Sox starting pitcher: Jonathan Cannon 1-2, 4.62 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Edward Cabrera 1-2, 7.07 ERA
White Sox vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -165 | O 8 -120 | +120 |
| Marlins | -1.5 +140 | U 8 +100 | -145 |
White Sox vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Paul DeJong has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 23 away games (+29.05 Units / 126% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+10.15 Units / 40% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.15 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 11 games at home (+22.20 Units / 202% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+18.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 38 games (+10.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+9.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 24 games at home (+9.55 Units / 30% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 43 away games (+7.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 away games (+7.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 20 away games (+6.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 23 away games (+6.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games (+5.90 Units / 22% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 48 games at home (+16.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 45 of their last 71 games (+16.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 51 of their last 84 games (+12.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 games (+3.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.20 Units / 15% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 42-49 against the Run Line (-11.35 Units / -10.35% ROI).
- 26-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -30 Units / -32.09% ROI
- 41-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.6 Units / -8.64% ROI
- 45-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.3 Units / 0.3% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 39-50 against the Run Line (-26.06 Units / -21.88% ROI).
- 31-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -20 Units / -21.12% ROI
- 46-41 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.55 Units / 1.58% ROI
- 41-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.85 Units / -9.05% ROI
Marlins vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jazz Chisholm (MIA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Josh Bell (MIA) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Marlins vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Bell (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jazz Chisholm (MIA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Marlins vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Marlins vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Edward Cabrera (MIA) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
| Jonathan Cannon (CWS) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .371 (13-for-35) against Jonathan Cannon’s changeup this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .241 — fourth Percentile.
Jonathan Cannon has allowed a slugging percentage of .714 (25 Total Bases / 35 ABs) on changeups this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .380 — first Percentile.
Jonathan Cannon has walked 7 of 166 batters (4%) this season — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 28% (36/127) against Jonathan Cannon this season — tied for 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 10th Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The White Sox are just 66-27 (.710) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The White Sox are just 21-13 (.618) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.
The White Sox are just 7-23 (.233) after a home loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .547.
The White Sox are just 9-31 (.225) after a road win since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Marlins are just 16-9 (.640) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.
The Marlins are just 9-9 (.500) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .753.
The Marlins are just 26-19 (.578) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.
The Marlins are just 10-22 (.312) after a home loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .547.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .216 (4,911 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .454 (4,911 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .298 (2,151 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .321.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .654 (7,127 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .199 (1,658 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Marlins hitters have chased 34% of pitches out of the zone this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .599 (1,059 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Marlins hitters have a swing rate of 53% this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have won only 6% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 13% of the time since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 3% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 995 of 9,774 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Marlins have won just 14% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins pitchers have won only 10% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Josh Simpson (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Xavier Edwards (Miami Marlins): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Huascar Brazoban (Miami Marlins): Personal, Out
- Victor Mesa (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Edward Cabrera (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- JT Chargois (Miami Marlins): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
- Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL
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