White Sox vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 31

Baltimore Orioles' Ryan Mountcastle during a baseball game against the San Francisco Giants in San Francisco, Saturday, June 3, 2023.
(AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
  • The Orioles are -185 favorites vs the White Sox
  • White Sox vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • White Sox / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | CHSN

The Chicago White Sox (+150) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-185) on Saturday, May 31, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the White Sox are 18-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 18-37 ATS.

White Sox vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

  • White Sox starting pitcher: Davis Martin 2-5, 3.45 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer 4-5, 5.08 ERA

White Sox vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox+1.5 -140O 9 -110+150
Orioles -1.5 +115U 9 -110-185

White Sox vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 61.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Miguel Vargas has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+15.45 Units / 154% ROI)
  • Edgar Quero has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Miguel Vargas has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.25 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Chase Meidroth has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.00 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Josh Rojas has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.80 Units / 32% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Dylan Carlson has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+18.00 Units / 360% ROI)
  • Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+9.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Jackson Holliday has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.40 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Dylan Carlson has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 34 games (+12.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 29 away games (+10.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 33 games (+10.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 27 away games (+7.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 51 games (+10.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+6.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games (+5.44 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+4.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.35 Units / 31% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 32-25 against the Run Line (+4.9 Units / 7.38% ROI).

  • 18-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.36 Units / -18.14% ROI
  • 26-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.95 Units / -7.88% ROI
  • 28-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.75 Units / -1.2% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 18-37 against the Run Line (-23.31 Units / -32.22% ROI).

  • 20-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.45 Units / -34.27% ROI
  • 27-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.33 Units / -2.17% ROI
  • 26-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.87 Units / -6.23% ROI

Orioles vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 +320 0.5 -400
Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) 0.5 +425 0.5 -625
Adley Rutschman (BAL) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Heston Kjerstad (BAL) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Miguel Vargas (CWS) 0.5 +600 0.5 -900

Orioles vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chase Meidroth (CWS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Ramon Urias (BAL) 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Lenyn Sosa (CWS) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Miguel Vargas (CWS) 0.5 -200 0.5 +155
Heston Kjerstad (BAL) 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Orioles vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 +120 0.5 -155
Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Adley Rutschman (BAL) 0.5 +155 0.5 -200
Ramon Urias (BAL) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Miguel Vargas (CWS) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225

Orioles vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Davis Martin (CWS) 3.5 -115 3.5 -115
Dean Kremer (BAL) 4.5 -105 4.5 -125

Davis Martin has a first-pitch strike rate of just 39% (20/51) in his last two starts — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.

Davis Martin has a first-pitch in-zone of just 41% (49/120) this month (5 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 57% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .297 (30-for-101) against Davis Martin’s non-fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .212 — fourth Percentile.

Davis Martin has a first-pitch in-zone of just 29% (15/51) in his last two starts — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 57% — first Percentile.

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed batters are hitting .314 (44-for-140) against Dean Kremer this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — fifth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .240 (29-for-121) against Dean Kremer with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .161 — third Percentile.

Opponents had a line drive rate of 35% (35/99) versus Dean Kremer with runners in scoring position in 2023 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.

Dean Kremer located 57% of his pitches away (1,656/2,925) in 2023 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The White Sox were just 33-23 (.589) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The White Sox are just 24-86 (.218) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.

The White Sox were just 26-95 (.215) after a loss in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.

The White Sox are just 57-134 (.298) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Orioles are just 4-15 (.211) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.

The Orioles are just 1-29 (.033) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .132.

The Orioles are just 0-33 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .041.

The Orioles are just 19-36 (.345) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.

The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 27% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .285 (10,505 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .644 (10,505 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.

The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 22% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

The Orioles are batting just .201 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.

Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .551 (534 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .686.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .159 on breaking pitches against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .338.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .274 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .377.

White Sox pitchers walked 643 of 6,241 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The White Sox have won just 17% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

White Sox pitchers have won only 7% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox won just 5% of the time since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Orioles pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Orioles pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Batters facing the Orioles pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 46% of the time this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.98 (244.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.84.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.