White Sox vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 2

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Texas Rangers' Marcus Semien watches his two-run home run against the Arizona Diamondbacks during the ninth inning in Game 5 of the baseball World Series Wednesday, Nov. 1, 2023, in Phoenix.
(AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vรกsquez)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 02, 2024, 12:14 PM

The Chicago White Sox (+115) visit Surprise Stadium to take on the Texas Rangers (-135) on Saturday, March 2, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Surprise, AZ.

This season, the White Sox are 1-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 5-3 ATS.

White Sox vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Moneyline
White Sox+115
Rangers -135

White Sox vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 55.5% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Clint Frazier has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Eloy Jimenez has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+3.65 Units / 183% ROI)
  • Carlos Perez has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Eloy Jimenez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Adam Haseley has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 70% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Marcus Semien has hit the RBIs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Evan Carter has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Leody Taveras has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Josh Jung has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 124 games (+16.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+8.13 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 22 away games (+6.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.84 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 96 of their last 171 games (+28.43 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 171 games (+26.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 102 of their last 171 games (+24.63 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 81 games at home (+18.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 49 of their last 81 games at home (+14.68 Units / 16% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the White Sox are 0-7 against the Run Line (-8.2 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 1-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.85 Units / -72.67% ROI
  • 3-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.37 Units / -17.59% ROI
  • 4-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.82 Units / 10.78% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Rangers are 5-3 against the Run Line (+2.51 Units / 24.54% ROI).

  • 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.52 Units / 38.05% ROI
  • 3-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.17 Units / -13.37% ROI
  • 4-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.88 Units / 9.89% ROI

Opponents had a miss rate of 41% (103/249) against Dylan Cease on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 99th Percentile.

Dylan Cease allowed an OBP of .332 (783 PA’s) in the 2023 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .299 — sixth Percentile.

Opponents had a line drive rate of 27% (131/481) versus Dylan Cease in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — sixth Percentile.

Dylan Cease walked 79 of 784 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 11th Percentile.

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents batted .420 (29-for-69) against Jon Gray on fastballs away in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .249 — first Percentile.

Jon Gray allowed three-ball counts to 11% of batters they faced (36/322 PA’s) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents batted .513 (40-for-78) against Jon Gray on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .350 — 0 Percentile.

Jon Gray had a strike rate of 70% (784/1,118) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 97th Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The White Sox were just 51-8 (.864) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.

The White Sox were just 19-40 (.322) after a win in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.

The White Sox were just 19-21 (.475) when they scored in the first inning in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .611.

The White Sox were just 45-14 (.763) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Rangers were 32-13 (.711) after a home win in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .532.

The Rangers were 24-19 (.558) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .389.

The Rangers are just 2-139 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.

The Rangers were just 2-52 (.037) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.

White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .213 (3,148 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

White Sox hitters had an OPS of just .458 (3,148 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.

White Sox had 2,422 quality ABs out of 5,980 total (41% QAB rate) in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .293 (2,952 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.

Rangers hitters had an OBP of .349 (3,096 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .324.

Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.

The Rangers batted .263 in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Rangers hitters had an OPS of .844 (3,096 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.

White Sox pitchers walked 654 of 6,301 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

White Sox pitchers won only 15% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against White Sox pitchers in the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 52% of their games on the road since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.

The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 55% of their games on the road since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of .278 against Rangers pitchers with runners on base in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: .259.

The Rangers won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Rangers vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, Out
  • Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
  • Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
  • Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
  • Josh Jung (Texas Rangers): Calf, Out
  • Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
  • Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
  • Corey Seager (Texas Rangers): Groin, Out
  • Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Out
  • John Brebbia (Chicago White Sox): Calf, Out
  • Michael Soroka (Chicago White Sox): Forearm, Day-To-Day
  • Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Luis Robert (Chicago White Sox): Knee, Out
  • Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Personal, Out

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.