- The Reds are -220 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox vs Reds Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- White Sox / Reds TV Channel: FDOH | CHSN | MLBN
The Chicago White Sox (+180) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-220) on Thursday, May 15, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 12:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the White Sox are 14-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 23-21 ATS.
White Sox vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- White Sox starting pitcher: Bryse Wilson 0-1, 4.88 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Nick Martinez 1-4, 4.30 ERA
White Sox vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -105 | O 9 +100 | +180 |
| Reds | -1.5 -115 | U 9 -120 | -220 |
White Sox vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 64.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Lenyn Sosa has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 away games (+10.00 Units / 111% ROI)
- Lenyn Sosa has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+8.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+8.05 Units / 74% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 20 away games (+7.25 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Rece Hinds has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games at home (+15.20 Units / 190% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.35 Units / 42% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+7.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 49% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 20 games (+12.80 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+10.90 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 away games (+8.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 away games (+7.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 away games (+6.65 Units / 26% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.30 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 34 games (+1.90 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 41 games (+0.70 Units / 1% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 24-19 against the Run Line (+2.8 Units / 5.51% ROI).
- 14-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.86 Units / -15.92% ROI
- 19-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.45 Units / -11.45% ROI
- 22-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.15 Units / 2.45% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 23-21 against the Run Line (-3.65 Units / -5.9% ROI).
- 20-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.95 Units / -12.91% ROI
- 18-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.4 Units / -19.52% ROI
- 25-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.05 Units / 10.38% ROI
Reds vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Hays (CIN) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
Reds vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Hays (CIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Lenyn Sosa (CWS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Gavin Lux (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Reds vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Hays (CIN) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -120 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Reds vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinez (CIN) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +100 |
| Bryse Wilson (CWS) | 3.5 +110 | 3.5 -145 |
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryse Wilson allowed a slugging percentage of .454 (93 Total Bases / 205 ABs) with two-strikes in the 2024 season — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: .236 — first Percentile.
Bryse Wilson allowed a slugging percentage of .454 (93 Total Bases / 205 ABs) with two-strikes in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .241 — second Percentile.
Bryse Wilson has allowed an OPS of .755 (282 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .476 — first Percentile.
Bryse Wilson has a in-zone of just 34% (68/197) vs left-handed batters this season — lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 51% — first Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .462 (12-for-26) against Nick Martinez’s elevated fastball this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .218 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (11/42) against Nick Martinez in two-strike counts this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — third Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 74% (32/43) against Nick Martinez’s curve and slider in 2023 — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 24% (13/55) against Nick Martinez this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — fifth Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The White Sox are just 91-40 (.695) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .860.
The White Sox are just 45-26 (.634) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .861.
The White Sox were just 26-95 (.215) after a loss in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.
The White Sox are just 11-44 (.200) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Reds (16th best runs scored) today.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Reds were just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 14-29 (.326) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 6-80 (.070) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .139.
The Reds are just 0-19 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .121.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 27% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .278 (5,869 PA’s) in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .213 (7,149 PA’s) with two-strikes since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 32% since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .117 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
The Reds are batting just .126 on pitches out of the zone since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
Reds hitters slugged just .151 on pitches out of the zone in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
Reds hitters are slugging just .154 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The White Sox have won just 17% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
White Sox pitchers walked 643 of 6,241 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 10% of the time since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
White Sox pitchers have won only 7% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Reds pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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