- The Royals are -250 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox vs Royals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- White Sox / Royals TV Channel: FDKC | CHSN
The Chicago White Sox (+200) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-250) on Monday, May 5, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the White Sox are 10-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 17-18 ATS.
White Sox vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- White Sox starting pitcher: Shane Smith 1-1, 2.23 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 1-1, 4.46 ERA
White Sox vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -105 | O 8 -115 | +200 |
| Royals | -1.5 -115 | U 8 -105 | -250 |
White Sox vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Monday‘s MLB game with 66.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jacob Amaya has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jacob Amaya has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.50 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jacob Amaya has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.45 Units / 54% ROI)
- Chase Meidroth has hit the Runs Over in his last 5 games (+8.00 Units / 160% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.75 Units / 80% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+24.90 Units / 311% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 20 games at home (+17.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+15.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+8.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.20 Units / 28% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.50 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+6.65 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 18 games (+4.70 Units / 24% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 35 games (+14.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+11.35 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+6.85 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.35 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.05 Units / 38% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 18-16 against the Run Line (+0.7 Units / 1.77% ROI).
- 10-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.6 Units / -22.35% ROI
- 17-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.4 Units / 0.71% ROI
- 15-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.7 Units / -6.51% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 17-18 against the Run Line (-6.9 Units / -13.77% ROI).
- 19-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.85 Units / 9.22% ROI
- 12-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.8 Units / -21.41% ROI
- 22-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.75 Units / 15.5% ROI
Royals vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Royals vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jonathan India (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Freddy Fermin (KC) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Royals vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Royals vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cole Ragans (KC) | 6.5 -160 | 6.5 +125 |
| Shane Smith (CWS) | 3.5 +115 | 3.5 -150 |
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 14% (22/155) against Shane Smith in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Shane Smith has 10 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 8th most among pitchers in MLB — 98th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of just 11% (6/53) against Shane Smith when he’s behind in the count this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.
31% of Shane Smith’s strikeouts are in the zone this season — 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 51% — fifth Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of 32% (488/1,526) against Cole Ragans in the 2024 season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 96th Percentile.
Cole Ragans has a strikeout rate of 44% (22 SO in 50 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Cole Ragans has struck out 39% (36/93) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of 34% (433/1,255) against Cole Ragans in the 2024 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The White Sox were just 33-23 (.589) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The White Sox were just 23-58 (.284) at home in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The White Sox are just 37-212 (.149) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The White Sox were just 41-121 (.253) in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Royals are just 17-83 (.170) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals are just 23-67 (.256) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .375.
The Royals are just 5-59 (.078) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .191.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .285 (9,887 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .286 (13,093 PA’s) since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .213 (6,975 PA’s) with two-strikes since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .289 (6,497 PA’s) at home since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Royals are batting just .318 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
The Royals won only 28% of their road games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Royals hitters have drawn walks in 6% of its PA’s against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have walked 10% of batters since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox pitchers walked 643 of 6,241 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox pitchers walked 654 of 6,301 batters (10%) in 2023 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 10% of batters since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Batters facing the Royals pitchers have struck out in the zone 57% of the time this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 3.44 (862.2 IP) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.
Royals pitchers had an ERA of 2.97 (460.2 IP) against division opponents in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.06.
More MLB Reading:
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