- The Royals are -220 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox vs Royals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- White Sox / Royals TV Channel: FDKC | CHSN
The Chicago White Sox (+180) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-220) on Tuesday, May 6, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Kansas City, MO, MO.
This season, the White Sox are 10-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 18-18 ATS.
White Sox vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- White Sox starting pitcher: Sean Burke 2-4, 4.91 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Seth Lugo 3-3, 3.12 ERA
White Sox vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -115 | O 8.5 -105 | +180 |
| Royals | -1.5 -105 | U 8.5 -115 | -220 |
White Sox vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 65.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Robert has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+13.20 Units / 147% ROI)
- Miguel Vargas has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+9.30 Units / 93% ROI)
- Lenyn Sosa has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Miguel Vargas has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Over in his last 5 games (+7.40 Units / 148% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+23.90 Units / 266% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 20 games at home (+17.40 Units / 46% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+8.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.45 Units / 52% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.05 Units / 63% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.50 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+5.65 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 19 games (+3.60 Units / 17% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 36 games (+15.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games (+12.35 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.35 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.05 Units / 42% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 18-17 against the Run Line (-0.4 Units / -0.98% ROI).
- 10-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.6 Units / -24.57% ROI
- 17-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.7 Units / -1.21% ROI
- 16-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.7 Units / -4.66% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 18-18 against the Run Line (-5.9 Units / -11.52% ROI).
- 20-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.85 Units / 11.04% ROI
- 12-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.9 Units / -22.95% ROI
- 23-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.75 Units / 16.94% ROI
Royals vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Royals vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Lenyn Sosa (CWS) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Chase Meidroth (CWS) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jonathan India (KC) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Royals vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Royals vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seth Lugo (KC) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
| Sean Burke (CWS) | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -130 |
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sean Burke has thrown his fastball for a strike just 55% (141/258) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 67% — 0 Percentile.
Sean Burke has walked 18% of left-handed batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 9% — third Percentile.
Sean Burke has allowed three-ball counts to 35% of batters they faced (23/65 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .071 (2-for-28) against Sean Burke’s elevated fastball this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .225 — 97th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Seth Lugo has a first-pitch strike rate of 74% (129/174) this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Seth Lugo has walked 4% of right-handed batters since last season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 95th Percentile.
Seth Lugo has allowed an OBP of just .248 (459 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .287 — 95th Percentile.
Seth Lugo has walked 3% of right-handed batters this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 95th Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The White Sox were just 33-23 (.589) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The White Sox are just 33-112 (.228) after a loss since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .502.
The White Sox are just 21-76 (.216) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The White Sox were just 18-63 (.222) on the road in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals are just 1-6 (.143) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season They play the White Sox (30th best runs scored) today.
The Royals are just 5-59 (.078) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .191.
The Royals are just 17-34 (.333) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the White Sox (30th best runs scored) today.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .285 (9,898 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .286 (13,127 PA’s) since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .213 (6,997 PA’s) with two-strikes since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .645 (13,127 PA’s) since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have struck out in just 19% of it’s PA’s since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .301 (3,257 PA’s) against LHP since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Royals are batting just .318 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Royals hitters have struck out in just 19% of it’s PA’s against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have walked 10% of batters since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox pitchers walked 643 of 6,241 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox pitchers had a strike rate of just 62% in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 10% of batters since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Batters facing the Royals pitchers have struck out in the zone 57% of the time this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 3.31 (163.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.37.
More MLB Reading:
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