- The Yankees are -140 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Yankees vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Yankees / Blue Jays TV Channel: RSN | TVA | YES
The New York Yankees (-135) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (+115) on Thursday, June 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Yankees are 52-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 36-43 ATS.
Yankees vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 9-4, 3.64 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 6-6, 3.46 ERA
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +125 | O 8.5 -120 | -135 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -150 | U 8.5 +100 | +115 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 57.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Aaron Judge has hit the Home Runs Over in 22 of his last 45 games (+23.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 37 of his last 47 games (+22.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 47 games (+18.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 47 games (+17.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 46 games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 32 games (+17.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+13.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 games at home (+12.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+10.25 Units / 205% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.65 Units / 30% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 48 games (+17.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 48 games (+17.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 59 games (+15.19 Units / 22% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 51 games (+12.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.10 Units / 37% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 78 games (+11.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 74 games (+5.50 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+3.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 16 games (+0.85 Units / 4% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 46-36 against the Run Line (+14.2 Units / 14.47% ROI).
- 52-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +10 Units / 8.33% ROI
- 41-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.05 Units / -2.27% ROI
- 39-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.15 Units / -6.81% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 36-43 against the Run Line (-14 Units / -13.35% ROI).
- 36-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.4 Units / -13.89% ROI
- 35-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.25 Units / -11.83% ROI
- 41-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.1 Units / 2.41% ROI
Blue Jays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| DJ LeMahieu (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Berrios (TOR) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
| Carlos Rodon (NYY) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -165 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Rodon has allowed a slugging percentage of .685 (63 Total Bases / 92 ABs) on inside fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: .434 — 0 Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.9 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (70 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: 80.9
Carlos Rodon has allowed a slugging percentage of .544 (43 Total Bases / 79 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .358 — eighth Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has allowed a slugging percentage of .690 (29 Total Bases / 42 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .399 — fourth Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .351 (20-for-57) against Jose Berrios’ elevated fastball this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .211 — first Percentile.
Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 38% of the time (165/434) with two-strikes this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Jose Berrios has a strikeout rate of just 20% (10 SO in 51 PAs) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 39% of the time (258/656) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Yankees are 24-20 (.545) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Yankees are 58-18 (.763) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .620.
The Yankees are 18-8 (.692) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .451.
The Yankees are 66-8 (.892) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Blue Jays are 27-22 (.551) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Blue Jays are just 14-62 (.184) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
The Blue Jays are just 4-15 (.211) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Blue Jays are just 11-21 (.344) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 373 walks in 3,565 PA’s (10%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .704 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .560.
Yankees hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 99 walks in 848 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 1,730 strikeouts in 9,055 PA’s (19%) in righty-righty matchups since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 928 strikeouts in 4,970 PA’s (19%) in righty-righty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .741 (12,034 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .327 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have won 58% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .199 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .232.
The Yankees have won 50% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .205 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Blue Jays have won just just 4% of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Blue Jays vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
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