- The Yankees are -120 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Yankees vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Yankees / Blue Jays TV Channel: RSN | YES | MLBN
The New York Yankees (-115) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-105) on Sunday, June 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Yankees are 53-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 38-44 ATS.
Yankees vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole 0-1, 9.40 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 6-6, 4.26 ERA
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +145 | O 7.5 +100 | -115 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -175 | U 7.5 -120 | -105 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Aaron Judge has hit the Home Runs Over in 22 of his last 45 games (+23.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 37 of his last 47 games (+22.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 47 games (+18.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 47 games (+17.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 46 games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 32 games (+17.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+13.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 games at home (+12.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+10.25 Units / 205% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.65 Units / 30% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+17.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 51 games (+13.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 28 games (+13.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 62 games (+11.19 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 54 games (+8.75 Units / 11% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 81 games (+8.45 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+7.60 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.05 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.35 Units / 33% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 47-38 against the Run Line (+13.75 Units / 13.59% ROI).
- 53-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.35 Units / 6.75% ROI
- 44-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.95 Units / 1.02% ROI
- 39-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.45 Units / -10.1% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 38-44 against the Run Line (-13.75 Units / -12.55% ROI).
- 38-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.25 Units / -12.41% ROI
- 38-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.25 Units / -8.06% ROI
- 41-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.2 Units / -1.33% ROI
Blue Jays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| DJ LeMahieu (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gausman (TOR) | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
| Gerrit Cole (NYY) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OBP of just .243 (600 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 100th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OPS of just .544 (601 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .675 — 100th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed a slugging percentage of just .300 (169 Total Bases / 563 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .383 — 100th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has a strikeout rate of 30% (181 SO in 601 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 75% (504/668) of the time since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has walked 3 of 135 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 98th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has allowed a slugging percentage of .372 (70 Total Bases / 188 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .253 — second Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has allowed a slugging percentage of .681 (32 Total Bases / 47 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .356 — fourth Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Yankees are 24-20 (.545) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Yankees are 57-59 (.491) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Yankees are 67-8 (.893) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Yankees are 58-18 (.763) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .619.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Blue Jays are just 8-38 (.174) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.
The Blue Jays are just 3-37 (.075) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Blue Jays are 21-16 (.568) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .426.
The Blue Jays are 41-26 (.612) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 374 walks in 3,597 PA’s (10%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees are batting just .219 with two outs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Yankees hitters have drawn 100 walks in 880 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .447 against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 641 strikeouts in 3,331 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 395 strikeouts in 2,092 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 127 strikeouts in 687 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 1,738 strikeouts in 9,100 PA’s (19%) in righty-righty matchups since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 7.44 (104.0 IP) over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
The Yankees have won 47% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees pitchers have won 58% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .200 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .232.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Blue Jays have won just just 4% of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 243 of 3,625 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
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