- The Yankees are -160 favorites vs the Guardians
- Yankees vs Guardians Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Yankees / Guardians TV Channel: YES | GDTV
The New York Yankees (-160) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (+135) on Wednesday, April 23, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH, OH.
This season, the Yankees are 14-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 13-10 ATS.
Yankees vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 2-3, 4.35 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Luis Ortiz 2-2, 5.58 ERA
Yankees vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +105 | O 8.5 -120 | -160 |
| Guardians | +1.5 -125 | U 8.5 +100 | +135 |
Yankees vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 58.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Yankees vs Guardians and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ben Rice has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+16.00 Units / 160% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+13.60 Units / 68% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+9.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 15 away games (+8.65 Units / 57% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gabriel Arias has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+19.50 Units / 217% ROI)
- Kyle Manzardo has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 47% ROI)
- Gabriel Arias has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+8.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- Kyle Manzardo has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Kyle Manzardo has hit the RBIs Over in his last 5 games (+7.80 Units / 156% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games (+5.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 games (+3.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.80 Units / 38% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+8.95 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.50 Units / 29% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 11-13 against the Run Line (-0.9 Units / -3.4% ROI).
- 14-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 4.54% ROI
- 12-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.15 Units / 4.39% ROI
- 10-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.25 Units / -12.22% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 13-10 against the Run Line (+1.25 Units / 3.78% ROI).
- 14-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.8 Units / 20.71% ROI
- 11-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.3 Units / 1.2% ROI
- 10-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.05 Units / -8.01% ROI
Guardians vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Guardians vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Steven Kwan (CLE) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Guardians vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Guardians vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Rodon (NYY) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -160 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters had a groundball rate of just 33% (129/387) against Carlos Rodon in the 2024 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has walked 16% of right-handed batters this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has walked 17% of right-handed batters this month (4 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 32% (109/340) against Carlos Rodon in non-two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Ortiz has struck out 52% (12/23) of left-handed batters he faced in his last two starts — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Luis Ortiz has a strikeout rate of 44% (8 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for 2nd best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 21% — 98th Percentile.
Luis Ortiz has a strikeout rate of 43% (18 SO in 42 PAs) over the last 14 days — best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have no hits on elevated fastballs in 18 AB’s against Luis Ortiz this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .223 — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Yankees are 45-25 (.643) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Guardians (third best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees were 37-21 (.638) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Tigers (fifth best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees are 55-14 (.797) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .638.
The Yankees are 56-37 (.602) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .467.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Guardians are 84-3 (.966) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .860.
The Guardians were 71-2 (.973) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Guardians were 82-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Guardians were 54-38 (.587) after a win in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .496.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters drew 221 walks in 1,808 PA’s (12%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 12% of its PA’s against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .546 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Yankees hitters chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against LHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters are slugging 1.121 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .575.
Guardians hitters have put 41% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters struck out just 791 times in 4,186 PA’s (19%) against RHP in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have walked 14% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 15% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (21 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 12% of batters this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 12% of batters this month (21 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .212 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Guardians allowed 0.87 runs per game (140/161) in late innings in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Yankees vs Guardians and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
