- The Yankees are -150 favorites vs the Mets
- Yankees vs Mets Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Yankees / Mets TV Channel: SNY | AMZP | MLBN
The New York Yankees (-130) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+110) on Wednesday, June 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Yankees are 52-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 37-40 ATS.
Yankees vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Gil 9-2, 2.77 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 4-3, 4.21 ERA
Yankees vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +125 | O 8.5 -120 | -130 |
| Mets | +1.5 -155 | U 8.5 +100 | +110 |
Yankees vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jose Trevino has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+22.70 Units / 568% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 36 of his last 46 games (+21.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 46 games (+17.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 32 of his last 46 games (+16.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 45 games (+12.55 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+26.20 Units / 374% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 21 games at home (+14.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+10.55 Units / 90% ROI)
- DJ Stewart has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+10.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 41 games (+10.10 Units / 12% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 47 games (+18.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 47 games (+18.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 58 games (+16.19 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 50 games (+13.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 81 games (+11.30 Units / 10% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 68 games (+11.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games (+10.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 29 games (+8.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games (+8.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.15 Units / 24% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 46-35 against the Run Line (+15.2 Units / 15.65% ROI).
- 52-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.3 Units / 9.52% ROI
- 40-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.05 Units / -3.42% ROI
- 39-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -5 Units / -5.61% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 37-40 against the Run Line (-5.55 Units / -5.5% ROI).
- 38-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.7 Units / -3.08% ROI
- 38-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.55 Units / -0.66% ROI
- 35-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.1 Units / -7.47% ROI
Mets vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -210 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Mets vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Mets vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -115 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Mets vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Gil (NYY) | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +120 |
| Sean Manaea (NYM) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .164 (47-for-286) against Luis Gil this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 98th Percentile.
Luis Gil has walked 19 of 135 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Luis Gil has allowed a slugging percentage of just .280 (80 Total Bases / 286 ABs) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .386 — 98th Percentile.
Luis Gil has walked 41 of 331 batters (12%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sean Manaea has allowed a slugging percentage of just .120 (6 Total Bases / 50 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .367 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (29/112) against Sean Manaea in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 36% (39/107) against Sean Manaea on fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 15% (2/13) against Sean Manaea — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Yankees are 18-8 (.692) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .451.
The Yankees are 3-23 (.115) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .058.
The Yankees are 24-20 (.545) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Yankees are 58-18 (.763) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .620.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Mets are just 25-10 (.714) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .892.
The Mets are 5-30 (.143) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .058.
The Mets are just 30-6 (.833) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .942.
The Mets are just 9-12 (.429) after a home loss this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .543.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .781 (2,249 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
The Yankees are batting just .220 with two outs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Yankees hitters have drawn 93 walks in 825 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .708 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .561.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets are batting .276 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Mets hitters are slugging .583 against LHP this month (16 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Mets hitters are slugging .452 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .386.
The Mets are batting .182 with two-strikes since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .199 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .232.
Yankees pitchers have won 58% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Yankees have won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees pitchers have an ERA of 3.28 (723.2 IP) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.02.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 66 of 693 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mets pitchers have walked 206 of 2,105 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 296 of 2,955 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
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