- The Yankees are -110 favorites vs the Orioles
- Yankees vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Yankees / Orioles TV Channel: Roku
The New York Yankees (-115) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-105) on Sunday, July 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 11:35am EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Yankees are 58-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 50-45 ATS.
Yankees vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 9-7, 4.45 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer 4-5, 4.35 ERA
Yankees vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +140 | O 9 +100 | -115 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -165 | U 9 -120 | -105 |
Yankees vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Aaron Judge has hit the Home Runs Over in 22 of his last 45 games (+23.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 37 of his last 47 games (+22.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 47 games (+18.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 47 games (+17.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 46 games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 32 games (+30.25 Units / 95% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+17.55 Units / 56% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+13.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+11.00 Units / 69% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 63 games (+16.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 39 of their last 63 games (+12.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 45 of their last 74 games (+12.69 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+12.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 53 away games (+8.20 Units / 12% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 86 games (+12.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 80 games (+10.95 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 6 games at home (+6.15 Units / 84% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 40 games at home (+3.45 Units / 8% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 52-45 against the Run Line (+12.6 Units / 10.95% ROI).
- 58-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.7 Units / 1.92% ROI
- 49-44 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.2 Units / 0.19% ROI
- 44-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.85 Units / -9.24% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 50-45 against the Run Line (+12.3 Units / 11.25% ROI).
- 57-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.8 Units / 3.53% ROI
- 47-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.75 Units / 6.56% ROI
- 37-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.95 Units / -14.39% ROI
Orioles vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -210 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Orioles vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Hays (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jorge Mateo (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| DJ LeMahieu (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Orioles vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Orioles vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Rodon (NYY) | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
| Dean Kremer (BAL) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -135 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Division opponents are hitting .354 (35-for-99) against Carlos Rodon this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — first Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has allowed a slugging percentage of .562 (90 Total Bases / 160 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .381 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .611 (11-for-18) against Carlos Rodon in late innings this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: .245 — first Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.0 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (78 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 80.9
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dean Kremer has thrown his changeup for a strike just 51% (181/358) of the time since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 61% — second Percentile.
Dean Kremer has allowed a slugging percentage of .588 (30 Total Bases / 51 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: .371 — third Percentile.
Dean Kremer has thrown his changeup for a strike just 52% (343/658) of the time since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 166 total IP; League Avg: 61% — sixth Percentile.
Dean Kremer has allowed 27 home runs at home since last season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Yankees are 25-20 (.556) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Yankees are 11-13 (.458) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Yankees are 104-32 (.765) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .638.
The Yankees are 30-6 (.833) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Orioles are 19-8 (.704) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 32-23 (.582) after a win as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
The Orioles are 56-44 (.560) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Orioles are 51-29 (.638) after a road win since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .480.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 115 walks in 992 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have a groundball batting average of just .217 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Yankees hitters have drawn 381 walks in 3,692 PA’s (10%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .799 (1,131 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .684.
Orioles hitters are slugging .451 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Orioles hitters are slugging .451 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Orioles hitters are slugging .458 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .389.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .202 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.
The Yankees have won 45% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .224 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 47% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .205 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Orioles pitchers have won 42% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 251 of 3,750 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
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