- The Yankees are -175 favorites vs the Pirates
- Yankees vs Pirates Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Yankees / Pirates TV Channel: YES | SNPT | MLBN
The New York Yankees (-175) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+145) on Sunday, April 6, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Yankees are 6-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 2-7 ATS.
Yankees vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Will Warren 0-0, 3.60 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney 0-0, 1.80 ERA
Yankees vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 -115 | O 9 -120 | -175 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -105 | U 9 +100 | +145 |
Yankees vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+28.50 Units / 356% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.75 Units / 47% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- Austin Wells has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+8.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.50 Units / 74% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 3 games (+10.00 Units / 333% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.20 Units / 85% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games (+7.10 Units / 86% ROI)
- Enmanuel Valdez has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+6.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Enmanuel Valdez has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+6.65 Units / 30% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 119 games (+19.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 77 away games (+16.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 28 away games (+9.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.80 Units / 74% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 64 games at home (+11.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+7.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 67 of their last 123 games (+5.40 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+3.65 Units / 17% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 6-2 against the Run Line (+5.05 Units / 57.71% ROI).
- 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.55 Units / 30.21% ROI
- 6-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.85 Units / 44.25% ROI
- 2-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.65 Units / -52.25% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 2-7 against the Run Line (-5.45 Units / -49.32% ROI).
- 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.7 Units / -55.88% ROI
- 4-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.65 Units / -16.18% ROI
- 5-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.75 Units / 7.81% ROI
Pirates vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -250 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jasson Dominguez (NYY) | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -1200 |
Pirates vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Pirates vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Joey Bart (PIT) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
Pirates vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Warren (NYY) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
| Andrew Heaney (PIT) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -118 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Will Warren has walked 4 of 15 left-handed batters (27%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 31% of Will Warren’s pitches (26/85) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 0 Percentile.
Will Warren has a strike rate of just 50% (34/68) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 11% (4/37) against Will Warren this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 27% — first Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters chased just 31 of Andrew Heaney’s 225 fastballs in off the plate (14%) in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 29% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 5% (1/21) against Andrew Heaney this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 54% of Andrew Heaney’s non-fastballs (1,329/2,454) since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (6/42) against Andrew Heaney this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 26% — sixth Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Yankees are 83-23 (.783) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .627.
The Yankees were 37-21 (.638) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Pirates (21st best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees were 50-31 (.617) on the road in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .478.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Pirates were just 7-44 (.137) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Pirates were just 10-32 (.238) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .359.
The Pirates were just 65-7 (.903) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Pirates were just 7-37 (.159) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are slugging .728 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .387.
Yankees hitters are slugging .630 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Yankees hitters have drawn 236 walks in 1,944 PA’s (12%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of .444 (90 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .300.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have 437 strikeouts in 1,653 PA’s (26%) against LHP since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Pirates hitters are averaging 4.38 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Pirates hitters have 20 strikeouts in 55 PA’s (36%) against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters have 901 strikeouts in 3,582 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Yankees pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 536.1 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 473.2
Opponents have a swing rate of just 42% against the Yankees pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 14 of 72 batters (19%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Yankees pitchers walked 13 of 54 batters (24%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last week of the regular season (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 5.22 (79.1 IP) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.03.
Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 4.52 (1489.0 IP) at home since the 2023 season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.09.
Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 4.64 (918.2 IP) against division opponents since the 2023 season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.19.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 48% against Pirates pitchers over the last 14 days of the regular season (9 games) — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
More MLB Reading:
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