- The Yankees are -135 favorites vs the Rangers
- Yankees vs Rangers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Yankees / Rangers TV Channel: YES | BSSW
The New York Yankees (-140) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+120) on Tuesday, September 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Yankees are 80-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 59-79 ATS.
Yankees vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 14-9, 4.19 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney 4-13, 3.94 ERA
Yankees vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +125 | O 9 -115 | -140 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -150 | U 9 -105 | +120 |
Yankees vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 58.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 38 games (+20.60 Units / 54% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 28 games (+19.25 Units / 57% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 44 games (+16.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+13.95 Units / 52% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+13.60 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 38 of his last 50 games (+20.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- Wyatt Langford has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 43 games (+16.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Josh Jung has hit the RBIs Under in 25 of his last 29 games (+15.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- Josh Jung has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+12.50 Units / 53% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 27 games (+12.05 Units / 45% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 53 of their last 81 games (+23.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 70 away games (+14.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 8 away games (+8.45 Units / 100% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.80 Units / 50% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 70 away games (+4.65 Units / 5% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 26 games (+19.15 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 65 games at home (+19.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 64 games at home (+13.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+3.60 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 34 games at home (+3.25 Units / 7% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 73-65 against the Run Line (+10.3 Units / 6.1% ROI).
- 80-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.15 Units / -5.51% ROI
- 76-58 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.75 Units / 7.71% ROI
- 58-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -25.4 Units / -16.78% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 59-79 against the Run Line (-32.25 Units / -17.69% ROI).
- 65-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.6 Units / -10.7% ROI
- 60-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -18 Units / -11.95% ROI
- 71-60 when betting on the total runs Under for +5 Units / 3.31% ROI
Rangers vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -210 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -300 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Rangers vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Rangers vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Jonah Heim (TEX) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Rangers vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Rodon (NYY) | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -145 |
| Andrew Heaney (TEX) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Rodon has a first-pitch strike rate of just 57% (358/623) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — third Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a strike rate of 76% (410/541) when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 70% — 96th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 32% (107/331) against Carlos Rodon this season — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has allowed a slugging percentage of .521 (63 Total Bases / 121 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .356 — sixth Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .181 (41-for-226) against Andrew Heaney’s inside fastball since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 184 total IP; League Avg: .261 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .188 (33-for-176) against Andrew Heaney’s inside fastball since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: .261 — 99th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 55% of Andrew Heaney’s non-fastballs (1,440/2,632) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 184 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 98th Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 30 of Andrew Heaney’s 187 fastballs in off the plate (16%) this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 28% — fourth Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Yankees are 27-20 (.574) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Yankees are 43-26 (.623) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .478.
The Yankees are 117-36 (.765) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .637.
The Yankees are 74-23 (.763) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .624.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rangers are just 4-205 (.019) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rangers are just 9-100 (.083) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Rangers are just 4-54 (.069) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.
The Rangers are just 10-187 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 83 walks in 670 PA’s (12%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of .336 (3,764 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .796 (3,764 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Yankees hitters have drawn 327 walks in 3,110 PA’s (10%) against starting pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
26% of Rangers hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers hitters have a swing rate of 36% on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
13% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,294/17,495 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
13% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,487/11,466 PA’s) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Yankees pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 536.1 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 473.2
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .205 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Yankees pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 37% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .230 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .256.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Rangers pitchers this season traveled 510.9 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 467.6
Rangers pitchers have walked 3 of 107 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 5.16 (588.0 IP) on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
Rangers pitchers have walked 71 of 1,219 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Texas Rangers – No Injuries Reported
- New York Yankees – No Injuries Reported
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