- The Rays are -130 favorites vs the Yankees
- Yankees vs Rays Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Yankees / Rays TV Channel: YES | FSUN
The New York Yankees (+105) visit George M. Steinbrenner Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-125) on Saturday, April 19, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Tampa, FL, FL.
This season, the Yankees are 13-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 7-13 ATS.
Yankees vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco 2-1, 5.95 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane Baz 2-0, 1.42 ERA
Yankees vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | +1.5 -190 | O 9 -105 | +105 |
| Rays | -1.5 +155 | U 9 -115 | -125 |
Yankees vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 55.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.40 Units / 51% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+12.10 Units / 121% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+10.25 Units / 44% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.60 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.95 Units / 114% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Junior Caminero has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+15.30 Units / 219% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+14.45 Units / 50% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+12.55 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+12.50 Units / 62% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.90 Units / 35% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 95 of their last 177 games (+13.25 Units / 7% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 83 away games (+11.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 83 away games (+3.10 Units / 3% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+1.90 Units / 7% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 96 of their last 162 games (+25.61 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 90 of their last 162 games (+20.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 94 of their last 162 games (+18.80 Units / 10% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 10-10 against the Run Line (+1.9 Units / 8.8% ROI).
- 13-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.85 Units / 13.23% ROI
- 10-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.45 Units / 6.68% ROI
- 8-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.05 Units / -13.68% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 7-13 against the Run Line (-7.2 Units / -30.38% ROI).
- 8-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.55 Units / -23.86% ROI
- 8-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.85 Units / -12.81% ROI
- 10-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.6 Units / 7.36% ROI
Rays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -220 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Danny Jansen (TB) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Rays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jake Mangum (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
Rays vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Rays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Carrasco (NYY) | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +105 |
| Shane Baz (TB) | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -115 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Carrasco allowed a slugging percentage of .830 (39 Total Bases / 47 ABs) on low fastballs in 2023 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .430 — 0 Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .769 (20 Total Bases / 26 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .360 — first Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco allowed an OBP of .456 (160 PA’s) versus the top of the order in 2023 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .328 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .304 (105-for-345) against Carlos Carrasco when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: .247 — second Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shane Baz has a strikeout rate of 65% (15 SO in 23 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 36% — 98th Percentile.
Shane Baz has allowed an OBP of just .070 (43 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .239 — 100th Percentile.
Shane Baz has allowed an OBP of just .070 (43 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 100th Percentile.
Shane Baz has struck out 55% (16/29) of left-handed batters he faced this month (3 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Yankees were 37-21 (.638) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Tigers (fifth best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees are 85-25 (.773) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .626.
The Yankees are 44-24 (.647) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Rays (eighth best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees are 55-34 (.618) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rays are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .026.
The Rays are 52-8 (.867) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .808.
The Rays are just 0-10 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .070.
The Rays are 141-8 (.940) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .901.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters drew 221 walks in 1,808 PA’s (12%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 12% of its PA’s against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 11% of its PA’s against LHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .283 in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rays hitters struck out 343 times in 1,369 PA’s (25%) against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Rays are batting .204 with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .163.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have walked 13% of batters this month (17 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 15% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (17 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 50% with two-strikes this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 52% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 45% against Rays pitchers in 2023 — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers did not pick-off any runners from first base in 2023 — lowest in MLB.
Rays pitchers walked 445 of 6,022 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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