- The Yankees are -160 favorites vs the Rays
- Yankees vs Rays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Yankees / Rays TV Channel: YES | FSUN | MLBN
The New York Yankees (-160) visit George M. Steinbrenner Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (+135) on Sunday, April 20, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Tampa, FL, FL.
This season, the Yankees are 13-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 8-13 ATS.
Yankees vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Max Fried 3-0, 1.88 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Ryan Pepiot 1-2, 4.99 ERA
Yankees vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 +105 | O 8 -110 | -160 |
| Rays | +1.5 -130 | U 8 -110 | +135 |
Yankees vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 56.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Trent Grisham has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+12.90 Units / 143% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.55 Units / 47% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.50 Units / 47% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 20 away games (+9.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.05 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+14.65 Units / 51% ROI)
- Junior Caminero has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+14.30 Units / 179% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+12.30 Units / 54% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+11.80 Units / 59% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 96 of their last 177 games (+15.35 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 84 away games (+9.80 Units / 9% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 games (+3.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 84 away games (+2.10 Units / 2% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 95 of their last 162 games (+23.36 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 89 of their last 162 games (+18.25 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 93 of their last 162 games (+16.50 Units / 9% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 10-11 against the Run Line (+0.1 Units / 0.43% ROI).
- 13-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.85 Units / 9.47% ROI
- 11-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.45 Units / 10.77% ROI
- 8-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.2 Units / -17.91% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 8-13 against the Run Line (-5.65 Units / -22.87% ROI).
- 9-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.55 Units / -19.3% ROI
- 9-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -7.94% ROI
- 10-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 1.97% ROI
Rays vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jasson Dominguez (NYY) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Rays vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Curtis Mead (TB) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jake Mangum (TB) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Rays vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Rays vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Pepiot (: Strikeouts | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -155 |
| Max Fried (NYY) | 6.5 +125 | 6.5 -160 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .333 against Max Fried non-fastballs this season — fifth worst among qualified SPs– sixth Percentile. Opponents batted just .177 (52-for-293) against him non-fastballs last season — tied for fifth best among qualified SPs– 92nd Percentile.
Max Fried has allowed a .515 SLG non-fastballs this season — ninth worst among qualified SPs– 11th Percentile. He allowed a SLG of just .276 non-fastballs last season — sixth best among qualified SPs– 90th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 59% (286/483) against Max Fried in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 62% (113/183) against Max Fried in two-strike counts in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Pepiot allowed an OBP of just .147 (75 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in 2023 — best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .316 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed batters hit just .111 (8-for-72) against Ryan Pepiot in 2023 — 2nd best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .229 — 98th Percentile.
Ryan Pepiot has allowed an OPS of 1.467 (38 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .706 — first Percentile.
Ryan Pepiot has allowed a slugging percentage of .654 (34 Total Bases / 52 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .367 — second Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Yankees were 37-21 (.638) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Tigers (fifth best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees are 44-25 (.638) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Rays (eighth best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees are 85-26 (.766) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .625.
The Yankees are 54-13 (.806) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .638.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rays are 13-136 (.087) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rays are 62-6 (.899) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .801.
The Rays are 89-23 (.795) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .739.
The Rays are just 24-35 (.407) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Yankees (ninth best runs allowed) today.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters drew 221 walks in 1,808 PA’s (12%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 11% of its PA’s against LHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .283 in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .311 with runners on base in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Rays hitters had an OPS of just .657 (4,637 PA’s) against RHP in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Rays hitters had an OPS of just .669 (6,006 PA’s) in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have walked 12% of batters this month (18 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 15% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (18 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Yankees pitchers have picked-off 2 runners from first base this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Batters facing the Rays pitchers have struck out in the zone 52% of the time since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 45% against Rays pitchers in 2023 — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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