- The Yankees are -200 favorites vs the Royals
- Yankees vs Royals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Yankees / Royals TV Channel: TBS | Max | YES | FDKC
The New York Yankees (-200) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+165) on Tuesday, June 10, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Kansas City, MO, MO.
This season, the Yankees are 39-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 35-31 ATS.
Yankees vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Max Fried 8-1, 1.78 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Noah Cameron 2-1, 0.85 ERA
Yankees vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 -125 | O 8.5 -110 | -200 |
| Royals | +1.5 +105 | U 8.5 -110 | +165 |
Yankees vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 62.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Yankees vs Royals and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+15.05 Units / 41% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+11.90 Units / 45% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+8.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+8.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Max Fried has hit the Earned Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.35 Units / 60% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+15.00 Units / 375% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.65 Units / 59% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.05 Units / 51% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 49 games (+10.27 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 64 games (+10.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 37 of their last 64 games (+8.95 Units / 9% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 29 games (+5.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 45 games (+5.21 Units / 10% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 66 games (+25.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 58 games (+12.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 31 games at home (+11.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 44 games (+9.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 42 games (+8.50 Units / 14% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 30-34 against the Run Line (-4.2 Units / -5.73% ROI).
- 39-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.75 Units / 2.65% ROI
- 28-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.7 Units / -12.47% ROI
- 34-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.22 Units / 4.53% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 35-31 against the Run Line (-4.45 Units / -4.7% ROI).
- 34-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.95 Units / 2.39% ROI
- 26-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.32 Units / -22.68% ROI
- 39-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.35 Units / 14.13% ROI
Royals vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -250 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Jasson Dominguez (NYY) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Royals vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| DJ LeMahieu (NYY) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
Royals vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Royals vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Fried (NYY) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 59% (286/483) against Max Fried in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 62% (113/183) against Max Fried in two-strike counts in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (400/703) against Max Fried since last season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents batted just .188 (15-for-80) against Max Fried on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .330 — 100th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Noah Cameron had a first-pitch strike rate of just 33% (7/21) in his last start — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Noah Cameron had a first-pitch in-zone of just 24% (5/21) in his last start — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 58% — first Percentile.
Noah Cameron has a first-pitch in-zone of just 24% (5/21) over the past seven days (1 game) — lowest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 57% — second Percentile.
Noah Cameron has allowed an OPS of just .412 (119 PA’s) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP; League Avg: .705 — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Yankees are 53-29 (.646) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Royals (sixth best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees were 37-21 (.638) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Tigers (fifth best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees were 50-31 (.617) on the road in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .478.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Royals were just 4-50 (.074) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Royals are just 79-117 (.403) on the road since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .473.
The Royals were just 5-28 (.152) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Royals are just 19-91 (.173) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .298.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .784 (6,237 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Yankees hitters drew 221 walks in 1,808 PA’s (12%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals are batting .257 with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Royals hitters have drawn walks in 7% of their PA’s against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Royals hitters have struck out in just 18% of it’s PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Royals hitters have struck out in just 15% of it’s PA’s against RHP this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Royals pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 519.4 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Royals pitchers picked-off 19 runners from first base in 2023 — best in MLB.
Royals pitchers had an ERA of 5.39 (674.0 IP) on the road in 2023 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 3.50 (993.0 IP) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.17.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Yankees vs Royals and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
