- The Yankees are -165 favorites vs the Tigers
- Yankees vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Yankees / Tigers TV Channel: YES | FDDT | MLBN
The New York Yankees (-155) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+130) on Monday, April 7, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Yankees are 6-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 5-4 ATS.
Yankees vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 1-1, 3.97 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 1-0, 0.00 ERA
Yankees vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | -1.5 -102 | O 8.5 -118 | -155 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -118 | U 8.5 -102 | +130 |
Yankees vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Monday‘s MLB game with 57.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+27.50 Units / 306% ROI)
- Carlos Rodon has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+8.95 Units / 99% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.65 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Riley Greene has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+16.00 Units / 320% ROI)
- Andy Ibanez has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.35 Units / 64% ROI)
- Manuel Margot has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+7.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+7.10 Units / 28% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 119 games (+19.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 77 away games (+16.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 28 away games (+9.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.80 Units / 74% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 82 games (+24.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 84 games (+20.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 57 games (+14.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games at home (+7.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.05 Units / 32% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 6-3 against the Run Line (+3.95 Units / 40.1% ROI).
- 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 14.18% ROI
- 7-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.85 Units / 49.49% ROI
- 2-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.75 Units / -57.5% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 5-4 against the Run Line (+0.7 Units / 6.03% ROI).
- 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 9.84% ROI
- 6-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.55 Units / 25.25% ROI
- 3-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.5 Units / -35.9% ROI
Tigers vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jasson Dominguez (NYY) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Tigers vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Manuel Margot (DET) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Tigers vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -140 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Tigers vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Casey Mize (DET) | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -110 |
| Carlos Rodon (NYY) | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -145 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 34% (135/401) against Carlos Rodon since last season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.
Carlos Rodon located 38% of his pitches inside (382/1,009) with two-strikes in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 29% — 96th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has a first-pitch strike rate of just 58% (455/786) since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Carlos Rodon had a strikeout rate of 33% (48/144) with runners in scoring position in the 2024 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 43% (15/35) against Casey Mize this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .059 (1-for-17) against Casey Mize this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .242 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 17% (57/341) against Casey Mize in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.
Opponents batted .338 (52-for-154) against Casey Mize versus the 2-3-4 hitters in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .251 — first Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Yankees were 37-21 (.638) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Tigers (fifth best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Yankees are 83-24 (.776) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .625.
The Yankees are 92-73 (.558) on the road since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .476.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Tigers were 18-54 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Tigers were 6-59 (.092) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Tigers are 77-16 (.828) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .739.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Yankees hitters are slugging 1.324 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .612.
Yankees hitters drew 221 walks in 1,808 PA’s (12%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 239 walks in 1,985 PA’s (12%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters had an OPS of just .679 (4,707 PA’s) against RHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Tigers hitters are slugging .564 with bases empty this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .383.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .387 against RHP since the 2023 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .300 (6,022 PA’s) in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Yankees pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 536.1 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 473.2
Yankees pitchers walked 13 of 56 batters (23%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last week of the regular season (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 15 of 83 batters (18%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 43% against the Yankees pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers walked 416 of 5,969 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 445 of 6,285 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 921 of 12,358 batters (7%) since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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