Yankees vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 9

Detroit Tigers' Parker Meadows reacts after hitting a double against the Oakland Athletics during the third inning of a baseball game Sunday, Sept. 24, 2023, in Oakland, Calif.
(AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vรกsquez)
  • The Yankees are -155 favorites vs the Tigers
  • Yankees vs Tigers Over / Under today: 7 Runs
  • Yankees / Tigers TV Channel: AMZP | FDDT

The New York Yankees (-155) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+125) on Wednesday, April 9, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Detroit, MI.

This season, the Yankees are 6-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 7-4 ATS.

Yankees vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Yankees starting pitcher: Max Fried 1-0, 2.62 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 1-0, 2.32 ERA

Yankees vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Yankees-1.5 +120O 7 -115-155
Tigers +1.5 -145U 7 -105+125

Yankees vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Anthony Volpe has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+17.00 Units / 170% ROI)
  • Trent Grisham has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.65 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Trent Grisham has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.60 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Max Fried has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+8.15 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Austin Wells has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 15 away games (+7.30 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Riley Greene has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+14.00 Units / 200% ROI)
  • Spencer Torkelson has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.45 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Spencer Torkelson has hit the RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+5.45 Units / 109% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 119 games (+19.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 77 away games (+16.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 28 away games (+9.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.80 Units / 74% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 82 games (+24.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 84 games (+20.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 57 games (+14.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games at home (+7.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.05 Units / 32% ROI)

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 6-5 against the Run Line (+1.45 Units / 11.74% ROI).

  • 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -3.77% ROI
  • 7-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.75 Units / 23.11% ROI
  • 4-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.75 Units / -30.49% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 7-4 against the Run Line (+2.95 Units / 21.3% ROI).

  • 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.55 Units / 23.13% ROI
  • 6-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.45 Units / 3.69% ROI
  • 5-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.5 Units / -12.45% ROI

Tigers vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +230 0.5 -295
Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000
Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) 0.5 +700 0.5 -1100
Ben Rice (NYY) 0.5 +700 0.5 -1100

Tigers vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Cody Bellinger (NYY) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Andy Ibanez (DET) 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) 0.5 -165 0.5 +125
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 -165 0.5 +130

Tigers vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) 0.5 +175 0.5 -235
Jasson Dominguez (NYY) 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) 0.5 +210 0.5 -285

Tigers vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Fried (NYY) 5.5 -155 5.5 +120
Jack Flaherty (DET) 6.5 +105 6.5 -135

Opponents had a groundball rate of 59% (286/483) against Max Fried in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (304/520) against Max Fried since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% (123/196) against Max Fried in two-strike counts since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 62% (113/183) against Max Fried in two-strike counts in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jack Flaherty has a strikeout rate of 39% (7 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 2nd best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.

Jack Flaherty has thrown low pitches 65% of the time (60/93) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a miss rate of 32% (393/1,223) against Jack Flaherty in the 2024 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.

Jack Flaherty has thrown low pitches 64% of the time (28/44) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 37% — 95th Percentile.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Yankees are 52-11 (.825) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .639.

The Yankees were 37-21 (.638) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Tigers (fifth best runs allowed) today.

The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.

The Yankees are 37-21 (.638) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Tigers (fifth best runs allowed) today.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Tigers are 14-58 (.194) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .098.

The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.

The Tigers were 39-4 (.907) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .750.

The Tigers were 18-54 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .143.

Yankees hitters are slugging 1.098 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .592.

Yankees hitters are slugging .649 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.

Yankees hitters have drawn 240 walks in 2,021 PA’s (12%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees hitters drew 221 walks in 1,808 PA’s (12%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of .891 (271 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

Tigers hitters slugged just .377 against RHP in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of .376 (271 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Tigers hitters are slugging .571 with bases empty this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .381.

The longest HR allowed by the Yankees pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 536.1 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 473.2

Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.

Yankees pitchers have walked 46 of 415 batters (11%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Yankees pitchers have walked 11 of 63 batters (17%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (7 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Tigers pitchers walked 416 of 5,969 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 449 of 6,354 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 925 of 12,427 batters (7%) since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Tigers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.