- Fairfield (10-14) are -4.5 point favorites vs Mount St. Mary’s (8-17)
- Total (Over/Under): 125.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN3
The Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers (8-17) visit Leo D. Mahoney Arena to take on the Fairfield Stags (10-14) on Feb. 12. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Fairfield.
Fairfield is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Mount St. Mary’s vs. Fairfield Over/Under is 125.5 total points.
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Mount St. Mary’s vs. Fairfield Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Mount St. Mary’s | +4.5 -110 | O 125.5 -110 | +155 |
| Fairfield | -4.5 -110 | U 125.5 -110 | -190 |
Mount St. Mary’s vs Fairfield Prediction for Today’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Fairfield will win this game with 64.6% confidence.
Mount St. Mary’s vs Fairfield Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Mount St. Mary’s will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Mount St. Mary’s and Fairfield, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Mount St. Mary’s Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Mount St. Mary’s have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 35 games (+10.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Mount St. Mary’s has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 games (+7.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- Mount St. Mary’s has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- Mount St. Mary’s has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- Mount St. Mary’s have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
Fairfield Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Fairfield has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 46 games (+18.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- Fairfield has hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 44 games (+12.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- Fairfield has hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- Fairfield have covered the 1H Spread in 28 of their last 49 games (+8.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- Fairfield has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.45 Units / 30% ROI)
Mount St. Mary’s Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Mount St. Mary’s has gone 9-15 against the spread this college basketball season (-7.55 Units / -28.54% ROI).
- 7-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.4 Units / -26.15% ROI
- 11-13 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -12.5% ROI
- 13-11 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 3.41% ROI
Fairfield Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Fairfield has gone 12-11 against the spread this college basketball season (-0.1 Units / -0.4% ROI).
- 8-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.85 Units / -21.24% ROI
- 9-14 when betting the Over for -6.4 Units / -25.3% ROI
- 14-9 when betting the Under for +4.1 Units / 16.21% ROI
Mount St. Mary’s Offensive Stats & Trends:
Mount St. Mary’s has 13.3 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 16.9
Mount St. Mary’s has 13.3 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 16.9
Mount St. Mary’s has averaged 62.0 points per game (1,363 points/22 games) this season — tied for lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 67.4
Mount St. Mary’s has a 24% free throw rate (293 free throw attempts/1,206 field goal attempts) this season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 30%
Fairfield Offensive Stats & Trends:
Fairfield is shooting 28% from three (123/438) this season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 33%
Fairfield is shooting 32% from three (374/1,177) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 33%
Fairfield has averaged 9.5 assists per game (200 assists/21 games) this season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 12.3
Fairfield has a 39% free throw rate (445 free throw attempts/1,140 field goal attempts) this season — highest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 30%
Mount St. Mary’s Defensive Stats & Trends:
Mount St. Mary’s has allowed 6.9 made three-pointers per game this season — 5th highest among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 6.5
Mount St. Mary’s has allowed an average of 1.16 points per shot (1,421 points/1,223 shots) this season — 3rd best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 1.20
Mount St. Mary’s has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (152/452) this season — 5th highest among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 33%
Mount St. Mary’s has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (514/1,223) this season — 4th best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 43%
Fairfield Defensive Stats & Trends:
Fairfield has averaged 5.5 steals per game (295 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 6.2
Fairfield has averaged 23.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,282 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 23.5
Fairfield has averaged 5.5 steals per game (116 steals/21 games) this season — 4th lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 6.1
Fairfield has forced 11.1 turnovers per game (600 turnovers/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd lowest among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 12.0
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