76ers vs Heat Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 18

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 18, 2024, 3:34 PM
  • The Heat are -3.5 favorites vs. the 76ers
  • Total (Over/Under): 212.5 points
  • Watch the game on SUN | NSPA

The Philadelphia 76ers visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Miami, FL.

The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The 76ers vs Heat Over/Under is 211.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the 76ers are 3-9 against the spread, while the Heat are 5-7 against the spread.


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76ers vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Philadelphia 76ers+76 -115O 211.5 -110+170
Miami Heat -5.5 -105U 211.5 -110-210

Heat vs 76ers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Monday‘s game with 71.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both 76ers and Heat.

Heat vs 76ers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the 76ers will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 59.7% confidence.


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  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 59 games (+19.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 29 away games (+17.20 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have covered the 1Q Spread in 23 of their last 29 away games (+16.10 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 81 games (+14.68 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 57 games (+12.04 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 27 of their last 39 games (+15.55 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 44 of their last 72 games (+14.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 41 games (+13.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 71 games (+12.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 43 games at home (+10.60 Units / 21% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the 76ers have gone 3-9 (-6.9 Units / -52.27% ROI).

  • 2-10 against the Moneyline (-8.15 Units / -54.88% ROI)
  • 6-6 against the Over for game total points (-0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 6-6 against the Under for game total points (-0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 5-7 (-2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI).

  • 5-7 against the Moneyline (-0.8 Units / -4.02% ROI)
  • 7-5 against the Over for game total points (+1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI)
  • 5-7 against the Under for game total points (-2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 26 of their last 72 games (-24.60 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 71 games (-22.90 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 88 games (-21.45 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 70 games (-20.80 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 86 games (-20.50 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 89 games (-32.70 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 83 games (-26.52 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 82 games (-21.47 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 72 games (-19.65 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia 76ers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 57 games (-18.62 Units / -28% ROI)

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Philadelphia 76ers: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat

The 76ers are 23-9 (.719) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Heat have averaged 49.9 rebounds/game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th-lowest in the NBA.

The 76ers were 22-1 (.957) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .822

The 76ers are 2-6 (.250) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .413

The 76ers are 1-4 (.200) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .395

Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia 76ers

The Heat were 33-8 (.805) when scoring 110 or more points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .659

The Heat are 36-13 (.735) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .659

The Heat were 19-10 (.655) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Heat are undefeated (8-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .895

Injury Report: Heat vs. 76ersMonday‘s Game, Nov. 18

  • Miami Heat – No Injuries Reported
  • Philadelphia 76ers – No Injuries Reported

Philadelphia 76ers Offensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers have averaged 10.2 assists per game (122 assists/12 games) in the second half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The 76ers have an eFG% of 50% this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The 76ers have averaged 50.8 points per game (610 points/12 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.2

The 76ers have averaged 20.9 assists per game (251 assists/12 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.8

Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends

The Heat are shooting 83% from the free throw line (1,624/1,947) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 79%

The Heat averaged 11.5 second chance points per game (943 points/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

The Heat have averaged 53.0 points per game (9,322 points/176 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.4

The Heat have averaged 16.6 fast break points per game (199 points/12 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.3

Philadelphia 76ers Defensive Stats & Trends

The 76ers have averaged 30.9 defensive rebounds per game (371 rebounds/12 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The 76ers averaged 8.5 steals per game (694 steals/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The 76ers averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,785 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The 76ers have averaged 33.6 defensive rebounds per game (3,156 rebounds/94 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (570 blocks/176 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (292 blocks/90 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (278 blocks/86 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Heat have averaged 3.5 blocks per game (327 blocks/94 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.