Bucks vs Bulls Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Dec. 28

  • The Bucks are -3.5 favorites vs. the Bulls
  • Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDWI | CHSN

The Milwaukee Bucks visit United Center to take on the Chicago Bulls on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Chicago, IL.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Bucks vs Bulls Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 13-16 against the spread, while the Bulls are 14-16 against the spread.


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Bucks vs. Bulls Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Milwaukee Bucks O
Chicago Bulls U

Bulls vs Bucks Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Saturday‘s game with 65.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Bucks and Bulls.

Bulls vs Bucks Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 51 of their last 87 games (+13.35 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 44 away games (+12.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 21 games (+12.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 87 games (+9.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have covered the 2Q Spread in 53 of their last 80 games (+23.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the Team Total Over in 52 of their last 78 games (+21.65 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+12.82 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 78 games (+10.90 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 45 of their last 77 games (+8.65 Units / 10% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 13-16 (-4.6 Units / -13.94% ROI).

  • 17-13 against the Moneyline (-4.25 Units / -5.91% ROI)
  • 13-17 against the Over for game total points (-5.7 Units / -17.27% ROI)
  • 17-13 against the Under for game total points (+2.7 Units / 8.18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bulls have gone 14-16 (-3.6 Units / -10.56% ROI).

  • 13-18 against the Moneyline (+5.35 Units / 14.15% ROI)
  • 17-13 against the Over for game total points (+2.7 Units / 7.92% ROI)
  • 13-17 against the Under for game total points (-5.7 Units / -16.72% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 78 games (-33.20 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 80 games (-24.05 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 35 games at home (-23.45 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 77 games (-19.60 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bulls have only hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 78 games (-18.50 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 30 of their last 82 games (-27.65 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 87 games (-26.40 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 87 games (-24.35 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 30 of their last 78 games (-24.10 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 87 games (-20.70 Units / -21% ROI)

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Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bulls

The Bucks are 13-4 (.765) when scoring 110 or more points this season — T-7th-best in the NBA. The Bulls have allowed 121.8 points per game this season — T-worst in the NBA.

The Bucks are 40-14 (.741) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Bulls have allowed 14.3 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd-worst in the NBA.

The Bucks are 60-21 (.741) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Bulls have allowed 115.9 points per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th-worst in the NBA.

The Bucks are 14-5 (.737) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .557

Chicago Bulls: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Bulls are winless (0-23) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .094

The Bulls are 2-11 (.154) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — T-4th-worst in the NBA. The Bucks have made 14.5 three-pointers per game this season — 10th-highest in the NBA.

The Bulls are 4-11 (.267) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .437

The Bulls are 1-7 (.125) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .284

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks are shooting 73% from the free throw line (463/636) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%

The Bucks have averaged 1.37 points per shot (6,382 points/4,666 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Bucks have averaged 11.0 second chance points per game (319 points/29 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

The Bucks averaged 1.44 points per shot (1,358 points/940 shots) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

Chicago Bulls Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls have made 16.5 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Bulls have 18.9 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.0

The Bulls have a 21% free throw rate (586 free throw attempts/2,838 field goal attempts) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25%

The Bulls averaged 5.7 turnovers per game (466 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 38.2 defensive rebounds per game (7,135 rebounds/187 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Bucks averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,035 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 6.4 steals per game (589 steals/92 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Bucks have averaged 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,075 rebounds/29 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5

Chicago Bulls Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bulls have allowed 56.5 points in the paint per game (1,752 points/31 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48.1

The Bulls averaged 34.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,849 rebounds/82 games) last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bulls have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (143 blocks/31 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Bulls stole the ball 638 times last season — 9th most among NBA teams


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